(Updated at 11:45 a.m. ET)
*
Mexico GDP weakens, peso falls
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Commodity currencies slip as China demand worries weigh
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Mexican stocks on track for first rise in five sessions
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Venezuela protests in focus
By Lisa Pauline Mattackal
July 30 (Reuters) - Mexico's peso led broader declines
in Latin American currencies after weaker-than-expected economic
data, while worries about commodity demand in China and caution
ahead of a bevy of key central bank decisions weighed on
sentiment.
Mexico's economy grew 0.2% in the second-quarter, where
analysts had expected a rise of 0.4%.
Slowing growth in Latin America's largest economy fueled
expectations for the central bank to cut interest rates at its
August meeting, weighing on Mexico's peso which fell
0.8%to 18.7924 per dollar, its lowest in nearly seven weeks.
"Going forward, real activity is likely to face headwinds
from high rates, post-election policy uncertainty, negative
fiscal impulse, soft business confidence, and moderate external
demand," economists at Goldman Sachs wrote.
Worries about commodity demand from China, the world's
second-largest economy, also weighed on producers in Latin
America, after there were no specific new stimulus efforts
announced at the country's Politburo meeting.
Oil slumped to its lowest since June, while major metals
including iron ore and copper also lost ground.
Trading was also cautious ahead of the U.S. Federal
Reserve's policy decision on Wednesday, with investors watching
for a dovish tone from policymakers to gauge whether market bets
on a September rate cut are on the right track.
Chile's peso dipped 0.5% ahead of the scheduled start of
Banco Central de Chile's policy meeting. The central bank is
forecast to ease policy by 25 basis points.
Rate decisions from both Colombia and Brazil are also on
deck tomorrow. Colombia is expected to ease policy from 11.25%
to 10.75%, while Brazilian policymakers are expected to hold
borrowing costs again.
Rate trajectories in the region highlight the challenges
facing central banks in the region as they balance the need to
boost economic growth with an uncertain global macroeconomic
scenario and higher-for-longer rates in major developed
economies such as the U.S.
The Colombian peso lost 0.5% while Brazil's real
was down 0.6%.
"A conservative central bank has kept the BRL's monetary
fundamentals steady, but some risks emerge in H2 2024 if the BCB
becomes structurally more dovish," said Thierry Wizman, global
FX & rates strategist at Macquarie.
Currencies of copper producers fell, with Peru's sol
down 0.1%, while Chile's peso briefly touched
its lowest since May.
MSCI's indexes tracking the region's stocks
and currencies fell 0.5% and 0.2%, respectively.
Local bourses were mixed, with Brazil's Bovespa down
0.6% while Argentina's Merval slipped to a two-week low.
Mexican stocks rose 0.8%, snapping five sessions of
losses.
Commodity price declines dragged Brazil's Vale
and Petrobras which lost 1.8% and 1%, respectively.
Venezuelan politics remained in focus, with protests
spreading throughout the country after Nicolas Maduro was
announced the winner of its presidential election despite the
opposition claiming victory.
Venezuela's bonds were
broadly steady after declines on Monday.
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Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies at 11:45
a.m. ET:
Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1071.77 -0.51
MSCI LatAm 2169.65 -0.45
Brazil Bovespa 126199.58 -0.59
Mexico IPC 52890.96 0.71
Chile IPSA 6486.10 0
Argentina MerVal 1453926.78 -1.844
Colombia COLCAP 1337.63 -0.23
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 5.6496 -0.44
Mexico peso 18.7924 -0.88
Chile peso 958.2 -0.53
Colombia peso 4083.3 -0.58
Peru sol 3.7318 -0.28
Argentina peso 931.5000 0.05
(interbank)
Argentina peso (parallel) 1370 3.28