(Updates throughout, adds analyst comments)
By Joice Alves
LONDON, May 29 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields surged
to their highest in over a month on Wednesday after data showed
inflation rising in three German states, but investors awaited
the national figure for further clues on the European Central
Bank's rate outlook.
Inflation in three German states inched up in May, although
price growth did slow in one state.
The inflation rate in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany's most
populous state, rose to 2.5% year-on-year in May from 2.3% in
April.
Economists will pay close attention to the national data due
at 1200 GMT for clues on how much the ECB will cut rates this
year. An ECB rate cut on June 6 appears certain, according to
all 82 economists polled by Reuters, a majority of whom
predicted two further reductions in September and December.
Germany publishes its figures before euro zone inflation and
the U.S. personal consumption expenditure data which are due to
be released on Friday.
The German 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for
the euro zone bloc, rose 4.8 basis points (bps) to 2.63% for its
highest level since April 25.
Franziska Palmas, senior Europe economist at Capital
Economics, said a weighted average of inflation figures for the
six major German states suggests that German headline HICP will
likely rise to 2.5% in May from 2.4% in April.
A separate Reuters poll sees inflation in Germany rising to
2.7% in May.
"CPI inflation data published by the major German states
this morning suggest that both German and euro-zone HICP
inflation may come in a bit lower than expected," Palmas said.
"The ECB has been paying particular attention to services
inflation, but we don't think the rise in May will deter it from
cutting rates next week given that it is driven by temporary
factors. Nevertheless, a pause in
July now seems more likely," she added.
Money market traders are almost certain that the ECB will
cut rates next week and are pricing in around 60 bps of monetary
easing by year-end.
Italy's 10-year yield also touched a more than
one-month high and was last up 4.2 bps at 3.94% while the gap
between Italian and German bunds was at 130 bps.
Germany's two-year bond yield, which is more
sensitive to ECB rate expectations, was 1.9 bps higher at
3.07%.
The spread between U.S. 10-year Treasuries and German bunds
narrowed by 1.6 points to 193 bps, having briefly
surged to 196 bps, its highest since mid May earlier in the day.