May 28 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields
edged up on Wednesday, snapping a four-day falling streak as
investors await developments on the tariff front, which could
affect the economic outlook.
U.S. President Donald Trump on Tuesday said the EU's move to
set up talks was positive and that he hoped Europe would "open
up" to trade with the U.S. even as he reiterated his threat to
impose trade terms if no agreement emerges.
Meanwhile, super-long-dated Japanese government bond yields
jumped after a sharp decline in the previous three sessions on
expectations that the Ministry of Finance was considering
cutting super-long bond issuance to ease market pressure.
Germany's 10-year government bond yield, the
euro area benchmark, was up 2 basis points (bps) at 2.55% after
hitting 2.513% on Monday, its lowest level since May 8.
U.S. stock index futures slipped on Wednesday after a sharp
rally in the previous session, when easing tariff tensions
boosted sentiment.
Some market participants expect the European Central Bank to
ease its monetary policy if U.S. tariffs prompt a sharp economic
slowdown in the euro area to prevent inflation from
undershooting the ECB's target.
Markets price in a 90% chance of an ECB 25 bps rate cut next
week. They also indicated a deposit facility rate at 1.70%
in December, from 1.55% in mid-April after
the ECB policy meeting.
ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane said that while most factors
pointed to euro area inflation continuing to fall, there were
others, including the risk of EU-U.S. trade talks failing, that
could drive inflation up.
The number of people out of work in Germany rose at a faster
pace than expected in May.
"Looking ahead, there are tentative signs of a bottoming out
of the labour market," said Carsten Brzeski, global head of
macro at ING.
"At the same time, ongoing announcements of potential
cost-cutting measures in the automotive and other industries and
the continuing increase in the number of bankruptcies are a
strong warning against premature celebration."
Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield was up 4
bps in London trade after declining 7.5 bps on Tuesday.
Italy's 10-year yield rose 2 bps to 3.55%.
The gap between Italian and German yields
stood at 97 bps, after reaching 90.90 bps last week, its lowest
level since March 2021.
According to Barclays, which has lowered its target range
for the Italian-German yield gap to 70-120 bps from 90-140 bps,
the recent tightening "reflects the dissolution of the
distinctions between core-periphery euro area government bonds."