LONDON, March 25 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields fell
on Wednesday led by Italian bonds, after being harder hit since
the outbreak of the Iran war, as falling oil prices boosted risk
appetite among traders.
The German 10-year Bund yield was last down 5.6
basis points at 2.96%, while Italy's 10-year yield
was down nearly 9 bps at 3.85%.
Italian bonds have been worse-hit, with yields gaining
nearly 60 bps since then, compared with a rise of around 32 bps
for German Bunds. Italy is more dependent on imports of fossil
fuels than many of its neighbours.
"I would pin it on general risk appetite ... every higher
beta in FX and bonds (are) outperforming this morning including
Italy and Greece," said Kenneth Broux, head of corporate
research FX and rates at Societe Generale.
He said market moves showed logical price action, with
traders moving to buy back lagging assets first. "This may be
all short-lived if peace talks do not take place or go nowhere."
Israel and Iran exchanged airstrikes on Wednesday, as Iran's
military rejected President Donald Trump's assertion the U.S.
was in negotiations to end the war which has roiled energy and
financial markets, saying the U.S. is negotiating with itself.
It follows reports overnight that the U.S. sent Iran a
15-point plan aimed at ending the Middle East war, according to
a source.
Oil prices softened, with Brent crude futures
dropping 5% to around $95 a barrel, while the European benchmark
STOXX 600 rallied, rising 1.3%.
Traders are digesting the latest survey on German business
morale which fell in March, although by less than expected.
The German 2-year Schatz yield - the most sensitive to
expectations for interest rates and inflation - fell 5.4 bps to
2.88%.
Elsewhere, on Monday European Central Bank president
Christine Lagarde said even a "not-too-persistent" overshoot of
the central bank's inflation target from the current energy
shock may warrant some moderate policy tightening.
Market watchers are placing a 63% chance of a 25 bps rate
hike at the ECB's next meeting. Bets on rate hikes mark a stark
turnaround from before the war, when the balance was towards a
cut this year.
(Reporting by Lucy Raitano; Editing by Amanda Cooper and Arun
Koyyur)