*
September US PCE inflation ticks up, as expected
*
Fed seen cutting policy rate by 25 bps in Nov, Dec
*
Yen firms after less dovish BOJ
*
Euro higher after the bloc's strong Oct inflation data
(Updates to U.S. morning)
By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed
NEW YORK, Oct 31 (Reuters) - The dollar eased broadly on
Thursday after U.S. data suggested upward price pressures
continue to ease, keeping Federal Reserve policymakers on track
to cut short-term U.S. borrowing costs by a quarter percentage
point next week.
Data on Thursday showed U.S. consumer spending increased
slightly more than expected in September, putting the economy on
a higher growth trajectory heading into the final three months
of the year.
Inflation by the Fed's targeted measure, the year-over-year
increase in the personal consumption expenditures index, was
2.1% in September, down from an upwardly revised 2.3% in August,
a Commerce Department report showed. The Fed aims at 2%
inflation.
"(The) U.S. economic releases confirm that the economy
remains on course for a 'soft landing', with the economy
continuing to make disinflationary progress back towards the
FOMC's 2% price target," Michael Brown, senior research
strategist at Pepperstone, said.
The Fed is likely to go ahead with cutting short-term U.S.
borrowing costs by a quarter percentage point next week, traders
bet on Thursday, with futures contracts settling to the Fed's
policy rate putting the chances of a 25 basis point cut next
week at about 94%.
The dollar also came under pressure against the yen
after the Bank of Japan took a less dovish tone than
expected, while the euro was stronger after data
showed the bloc's inflation accelerated more than expected in
October, bolstering the case for caution in European Central
Bank interest rate cuts.
The dollar was down 0.48% against the yen at 152.68 yen and
the euro was 0.3% higher against the buck at $1.088725.
"Some of the move is likely a function of yen demand after a
marginally more hawkish BoJ during the Asia session, as well as
some upside in the euro after hotter-than-expected CPI figures
dented the chances of a 50 basis points December ECB cut,"
Pepperstone's Brown said.
Traders were also likely taking the opportunity to book
profits after the dollar's strong run in recent weeks, Brown
said.
The Dollar Index, which measures the U.S. currency's
strength against a basket of major peers, rose as much as 4.5%
from its September lows.
Attention now turns to Friday's closely watched nonfarm
payrolls report and next week's U.S. presidential election on
Tuesday.
Economists polled by Reuters estimate 113,000 jobs were
added in October, although the number could be lower due to
recent hurricanes.
"A slightly hotter or slightly cooler (jobs) number to me
probably doesn't change the dial too much given the upbeat trend
in recent economic data," said IG Market Analyst Tony Sycamore.
"It makes sense to me to be ... taking some risk off and
moving to the sidelines" ahead of a week that will "set the tone
for the end of the year," he said.
Some investors have been putting on trades betting
Republican candidate Donald Trump will win, helping to lift the
dollar and U.S. Treasury yields, although he is still neck and
neck with Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris in several
polls.
Trump's plans to implement tax cuts, loosen financial
regulations and raise tariffs are seen as inflationary and could
slow the Federal Reserve in its policy easing path.
On Thursday, the BOJ maintained ultra-low interest rates
but said risks around the U.S. economy were somewhat subsiding,
signalling that conditions are falling into place to raise
interest rates again.
Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks were seen as less dovish than
those made before the meeting that the BOJ could "afford to
spend time" scrutinising the fallout from risks such as U.S.
economic uncertainties.
Elsewhere, sterling fell 0.4% to $1.2905, a day
after Britain's finance minister Rachel Reeves launched the
biggest tax increases since 1993 in her first budget.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin, the world's largest
cryptocurrency by market cap, was 2% lower at $71,111, less than
4% shy of its record high from March.