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Dollar index hit lowest in more than a year
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Domestic data supports Australian, New Zealand currencies
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Sterling jumps after BoE
(Updates prices throughout, adds analyst comment)
By Chibuike Oguh and Stefano Rebaudo
NEW YORK, Sept 19 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar edged
slightly lower in choppy trading on Wednesday as markets
grappled with the supersized 50 basis point interest rate cut as
well as the switch to an easing monetary policy stance delivered
by the Federal Reserve.
Investor expectations had largely shifted towards a dovish
outcome in the days leading up to the Fed's move on Wednesday,
with money markets pricing in around a 65% chance of a 50 basis
point (bp) cut. But economists polled by Reuters were leaning
towards a 25 bp cut.
"The initial interpretation of the decision was that it was
dovish and while it was basically even odds that it was going to
happen, overall, on the surface, it's still a dovish move," said
Eugene Epstein, head of trading & structured products North
America at Moneycorp in Boston.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of six peers, was down 0.069% to 100.950 after
reversing gains made in early trading. It slid to its lowest in
more than a year of 100.21 in the previous session.
The euro strengthened to $1.111950, but remained
below a three-week high hit in the previous session.
Against the yen, the dollar was 0.45% higher at
142.895.
"Everything reversed basically by the end of the day, so you
can make the argument as a bit of buy the rumor, sell the fact.
A lot of dovishness was already priced in," Epstein said.
Money markets priced in 72 bps of additional rate cuts in
2024 and 192 bps by September 2025.
Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped
unexpectedly to 12,000 last week, according to Labor Department
data on Thursday, suggesting labor market growth.
Fed policymakers on Wednesday projected the benchmark
interest rate would fall by another half of a percentage point
by the end of this year, a full percentage point next year and
half of a percentage point in 2026.
The pound hit its highest since March 2022 versus the dollar
after the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)
voted 8-1 to keep rates on hold. Sterling was up 0.30% against
the greenback at $1.32540 after reaching as high as $1.3314
.
The Australian and New Zealand dollars drew support from
domestic data surprises. Australian employment exceeded
forecasts for a third straight month in August.
The Aussie was up 0.56% to $0.68020.
The kiwi, meanwhile, traded 0.42% higher at
$0.62335, after data showed the New Zealand economy contracted
by 0.2% in the second quarter.