(Updates prices throughout, adds oil settlement and fresh
analyst quote)
* BOJ holds interest rates steady in split vote
* Euro, Swiss franc lose ground against dollar
* Dollar index edges higher after two-day losing streak
ahead of Fed meeting
By Chibuike Oguh
NEW YORK, April 28 (Reuters) - The dollar firmed on
Tuesday as risk-off flows driven by the Iran war offset a brief
rally in the yen following the Bank of Japan's most divided
policy decision under Governor Kazuo Ueda.
The BOJ kept its policy rate unchanged at 0.75%, but a rare 6-3
split - the widest since Ueda took office - fueled expectations
of a possible rate hike as early as June. The yen initially
strengthened but reversed course after Ueda's press conference
dampened the growth outlook, leaving it little changed at 159.65
per dollar and 186.90 per euro.
Three dissenting board members - Junko Nakagawa, Hajime Takata
and Naoki Tamura - voted to raise the policy rate to 1.0%,
citing sharply rising inflation risks stemming from war-related
energy supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz.
Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump discussed a new Iranian
proposal on resolving the war with his top national security
aides on Monday. But a U.S. official said later that Trump was
unhappy with the proposal because it did not address Iran's
nuclear programme.
The euro was down 0.11% at $1.17085. The dollar
strengthened 0.51% to 0.79 against the Swiss franc. The
U.S. dollar index snapped a two-day losing streak to
trade 0.2% higher at 98.66.
"We're having the traditional risk-off correlations since the
Iran war - a rise in oil prices, a stronger dollar, higher U.S.
yields, lower Fed rate cut expectations, and lower gold," said
Eugene Epstein, head of structuring for North America at
Moneycorp in New Jersey.
Brent crude rose 2.8% to settle at $111.26 per barrel.
The benchmark S&P 500 index was down about 0.5%. U.S.
Treasury yields were mostly higher, with the yield on benchmark
U.S. 10-year notes up 1.7 basis points to 4.354%.
Spot gold fell 1.84% to $4,596.50 an ounce.
FED TRANSITION IN FOCUS
Attention is also turning to the two-day Federal Open Market
Committee meeting that ends on Wednesday. It is widely expected
to be Jerome Powell's last as head of the U.S. central bank.
Senator Thom Tillis on Sunday lifted his hold on the
confirmation of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Powell's
successor after the U.S. Justice Department ended its criminal
investigation into Powell.
Warsh is expected to advocate for rate cuts, though surging
energy prices linked to the Iran conflict could make other
members of the central bank's policy-setting Federal Open Market
Committee cautious.
"It's not a meeting where rates policy is on the front burner,
but the FOMC assessment of the economy may improve," said Steve
Englander, global head of G10 FX research at Standard Chartered
in New York. "The inflation picture is improving very slowly at
best and could be an emerging issue for Warsh to deal with" when
he takes office.
Sterling fell 0.12% to $1.352. The Canadian dollar
weakened 0.42% to C$1.368 per dollar, ahead of the Bank of
Canada's rate decision on Wednesday. Central banks in the euro
zone and UK are also set to deliver decisions this week.
Bitcoin fell 1.08% to $76,145.40, while ether was
flat at $2,292.25.
"We maintain a bearish USD outlook into this week's central
bank risk events as we look to the Bank of Canada and Federal
Reserve rate decisions on Wednesday, followed by the Bank of
England and ECB on Thursday. These meetings follow the BoJ's
hawkish hold, where the board delivered a 6-3 vote that was
complemented by Governor Ueda's stated intention to maintain a
commitment to tightening," Scotiabank analysts led by Shaun
Osborne said in an investor note.