* Iran, US trade blows over the weekend
* BOJ Governor Ueda's upcoming speech eyed for rate-hike
signals
* Traders focusing on US jobs data this week
(Updates with late U.S. trade)
By Hannah Lang
NEW YORK, June 1 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was higher
on Monday after a small weekly loss as investors digested fresh
developments in Middle East peace talks after the U.S. and Iran
traded blows over the weekend, raising questions about the
fragility of diplomatic efforts to end the war.
The dollar index, which measures the currency against six peers,
edged lower last week on expectations that a deal between the
U.S. and Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz was close. The
closure of the key oil artery has lifted oil prices and worsened
the inflation outlook, leading some observers to expect the
Federal Reserve would raise rates this year.
The dollar edged higher on Monday after Iran's Tasnim news
agency said Tehran's negotiating team is stopping exchanges of
messages with the U.S. through mediators due to attacks on
Lebanon. Later in the day, U.S. President Donald Trump said he
spoke with Iran-aligned Lebanese militia group Hezbollah through
intermediaries and secured a pledge that it would not attack
Israel, paring some of the dollar's gains.
The dollar index was last up 0.184% at 99.195 after
last week's drop of 0.4%.
The greenback had rallied at the onset of the conflict, which
began on February 28, buoyed by safe-haven demand and the U.S.
economy's relatively limited exposure to energy-driven
inflation. However, it has given back some of those gains due to
uncertainty surrounding the conflict's trajectory.
The euro was down 0.26% at $1.1632, while sterling
was 0.03% higher at $1.34565.
Should the Strait of Hormuz reopen to traffic and oil prices
fall, the dollar would likely weaken in the near term and
risk-sensitive currencies, such as the Swedish crown, would
outperform, said Tommy von Bromsen, FX strategist at
Handelsbanken.
But currency markets are in wait-and-see mode after the U.S.
military said it had over the weekend struck Iranian air
defences, a ground control station and two drones that were
threatening ships after "aggressive Iranian actions," including
the shooting down of a U.S. drone over international waters.
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said on Monday it
had targeted an air base used by the U.S. in response to an
attack on southern Iran.
FED WATCH
Markets are betting the U.S. central bank's next move will be to
raise its benchmark interest rate, compared with expectations
for a cut before the start of the Iran war, given rising energy
prices and the impact they will have on inflation, and a
still-resilient jobs market.
The release on Friday of the monthly U.S. employment report
could help sway what the Fed will do in the near term. The data
are expected to show a gain of 85,000 jobs in May and no change
in the current 4.3% unemployment rate, according to a Reuters
poll of economists.
Fed Governor Jerome Powell, whose term as head of the central
bank formally ended last month, warned in a speech on Sunday
about politicization of monetary policy. Powell has decided to
remain on the Fed's Board of Governors in part because of what
he regards as ongoing threats to the central bank's
independence.
YEN IN FOCUS
Markets are highly anticipating a speech by Bank of Japan
Governor Kazuo Ueda on Wednesday for possible signals as to
whether the central bank will proceed with a rate increase the
following week.
While there is no consensus yet within the BOJ on the decision,
a pause in the central bank's taper of government bond purchases
is increasingly seen as a preferred option, two sources familiar
with the deliberations said.
The yen weakened 0.28% to 159.710 per dollar, close to
the psychologically important 160 level that saw intervention by
Japanese authorities to strengthen the currency.
"It seems like 160 is where they draw the line," said
Handelsbanken's von Bromsen. "I think there will be intervention
if we approach that level again."
The Australian dollar traded 0.29% lower at $0.7161
against the dollar, while New Zealand's kiwi slid 0.9% to
$0.59365.