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Tariffs, Russia-Ukraine optimism weigh on greenback
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US retail sales fall more than expected in January
(Updated in New York afternoon time)
By Karen Brettell
NEW YORK, Feb 14 (Reuters) - The dollar was on track for
a weekly loss against the euro on Friday as a delay in the
introduction of trade tariffs planned by U.S. President Donald
Trump raised hopes that they may not be as bad as feared, while
optimism about a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine helped
the single currency rally.
The dollar index also fell to a nine-week low after data
showed that retail sales fell more than expected in January,
leading traders to raise bets that the Federal Reserve may cut
rates two times this year.
"Markets are still hoping that tariff headwinds are not
going to be as significant as perhaps previously feared, then
probably the bigger element this week is enthusiasm about
potential Russia-Ukraine ceasefire and to what extent that might
be positive for European growth in particular," said Vassili
Serebriakov, an FX strategist at UBS in New York.
"The retail sales are probably a tertiary factor, but it's
kept the dollar on the back foot," Serebriakov said.
The euro rose 0.32% to $1.0497 and got as high as
$1.0514, the highest since January 27. It is on pace for a
weekly gain of 1.7%.
The Japanese yen strengthened 0.37% against the
greenback to 152.22 per dollar.
The dollar index was last down 0.35% at 106.72
and on track for a weekly loss of 1.3%. It reached 106.56, the
lowest since December 12.
Trump on Thursday tasked his economics team with devising
plans for reciprocal tariffs on every country that taxes U.S.
imports. Howard Lutnick, Trump's pick for commerce secretary,
said the administration would address each affected country one
by one and said studies on the issue would be completed by April
1.
The broad announcement appeared designed at least in part to
trigger talks with other countries, with a White House official
saying Trump would gladly lower tariffs if other countries
lowered theirs.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent also said on Friday
that the Trump administration is looking beyond tariffs and
non-tariff barriers to examine currency manipulation as it
studies the issue.
Analysts say that tariffs could add to inflation, keeping
the dollar higher as the Fed holds rates higher for longer.
Trump also said on Friday he plans to impose tariffs
on imported cars
around April 2.
The euro and other European currencies have been supported
this week by optimism that Russia and Ukraine will reach a peace
deal.
Trump discussed the war in Ukraine on Wednesday in phone
calls with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian
President Volodymyr Zelenskiy.
Friday's retail sales data, meanwhile, comes after
Thursday's producer price report for January pointed towards
lower than previously thought core Personal Consumption
Expenditures Price Index later this month, which is the Fed's
preferred inflation measure.
Futures traders are now pricing in 41 basis points of cuts
for the year, fully reversing a move towards reduced rate cut
expectations after consumer price data came in hotter than
expected on Wednesday.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin gained 1.32% to
$97,781.23.
(Editing by Toby Chopra; editing by Diane Craft)