*
Yen gains after Japan-US trade deal lowers auto tariffs
*
Traders expect near-100% chance of Fed rate cut this month
*
Trump's Fed nominee vows independence from political
pressure
(Updates latest price moves to European trading, adds
strategist quotes)
By Rocky Swift and Lucy Raitano
TOKYO/LONDON, Sept 5 (Reuters) - The dollar declined
versus major peers on Friday, trimming its weekly gain as bond
markets stabilised and traders awaited key U.S. jobs data
expected to firm up the case for an interest rate cut by the
Federal Reserve.
Data on Thursday showing higher-than-expected applications
for jobless benefits in the U.S. served as a prelude to the more
critical nonfarm payrolls report. Bonds rallied in the U.S.,
Europe and Japan after fiscal concerns spurred a run-up in
long-term yields, while the S&P 500 hit a new all-time high.
"It seems to me that the reaction to the ADP yesterday was a
bit too muted," said Francesco Pesole, FX strategist at ING.
"All in all, it is pointing to a probably weak payroll
figure today. I was a little surprised to see the dollar holding
up yesterday," he said.
He added that dollar weakness in early European trading
on Friday could be indicative of traders offloading greenbacks
ahead of the U.S. job figures later in the session.
On Friday, the dollar index, which tracks the
greenback against a basket of currencies of other major trading
partners, dipped 0.2% to 98.018, trimming its gain for the week
back to 0.2%.
The dollar dropped 0.2% to 148.14 yen. The euro
was up 0.2% on the day at $1.1682.
In the UK,
retail sales
data for July came in hot but failed to move the dial on
sterling, which was last up 0.2% at $1.34695, while
versus the euro, the pound weakened 0.05% to 86.74 pence.
Anxiety over U.S. President Donald Trump's meddling with Fed
policy and his unpredictable tariff regime has made investors
shy about holding dollar assets of late, said Bart Wakabayashi,
the Tokyo Branch Manager of State Street.
"The dollar remains very, very underweight,"
Wakabayashi said. "I do think there is room for the dollar
buying to come back at some point. Maybe investors are just
waiting for the rate cut to happen and then pile back in."
Several Fed officials said labour market worries continue to
support their calls for rate cuts, boosting expectations of an
imminent easing. The Fed is due to convene on September 16-17.
The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will
report U.S. nonfarm payrolls for August, with economists
surveyed by Reuters expecting an increase of 75,000 jobs after a
gain of 73,000 in July.
That follows figures on Thursday showing that U.S. private
payrolls rose by less than expected in August and jobless claims
in the final week of the month were higher than predicted.
"The risk is still tilted to payrolls underperforming U.S.
economists' expectations that will weigh on the USD tonight,"
Joseph Capurso, head of international economics at the
Commonwealth Bank of Australia, wrote in a note.
Traders are pricing in a near-100% chance of the Fed cutting
interest rates later this month, up from 87% a week ago, CME
FedWatch showed.
Michael Brown, senior research strategist at
Pepperstone, said that Friday's jobs report doesn't really
matter in the grand scheme of things.
"The Fed will be delivering a 25-bp cut at the September
meeting. A hot report shan't dissuade them from doing so, given
the broader trend of softening jobs data. A cool report shan't
convince them to plump for a larger rate reduction, given
lingering upside inflation risks," he wrote in a note.
Stephen Miran, Trump's pick to fill an open seat at the Fed,
said he would "not at all" be the president's puppet when
questioned by lawmakers on Thursday about whether he would make
interest-rate decisions independently of political pressure.
Trump signed an order on Thursday to implement lower tariffs
on Japanese automobile imports and other products that were
announced in July. Japan also confirmed its commitment to an
annual $7 billion worth of energy purchases from the U.S., a
joint statement from the countries showed.
The Australian dollar rose 0.4% to $0.6544. The New
Zealand dollar rose 0.6% to $0.58785.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin climbed 2.16% to
$112,796.78, while ether added 2.1% to $4,398.61.