* Trump postpones strikes on Iran power grid for five
days
* Markets cautious with Iran denying US negotiations took
place
* Dollar recoups some of its overnight losses as war
rages on
(Updates prices, adds more comments and context)
By Jiaxing Li
HONG KONG, March 24 (Reuters) - The dollar firmed
slightly on Tuesday as investor sentiment turned cautious, with
the war in the Middle East raging on and markets sceptical of a
swift resolution even though U.S. President Donald Trump delayed
the bombing of Iran's power grid.
Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform that the U.S. and
Iran had held "very good and productive" conversations about a
"complete and total resolution of hostilities in the Middle
East". Iran denied it had engaged in any direct negotiations.
The contrasting comments and a fresh wave of fighting left
markets in flux as traders weighed Trump's post in which he
postponed the bombing for five days. Still, markets were mindful
of the war all but halting shipments of about one-fifth of the
world's oil and liquefied natural gas through the Strait of
Hormuz.
"The news overnight is giving a breather to volatility at
least, but it's difficult to see that this is going to trigger a
risk-on trend," said Rodrigo Catril, a currency strategist at
National Australia Bank.
Trump's policy track record was keeping markets wary, with
traders uncertain whether this marked the start of genuine
negotiations or simply a retreat from volatility-inducing
threats, Catril said.
Sterling eased 0.49% to $1.3388 after jumping
nearly 1% on Monday, while the euro was down 0.3% at $1.1583
after gaining 0.4% in the previous trading session.
The Australian dollar fell 0.6% to $0.6968, pulling
back from a six-week high. The New Zealand dollar was down 0.5%
at $0.5832.
The yen was on the back foot at 158.73 a dollar after
Japan's core consumer inflation rate hit 1.6% in February. That
was below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for the first time in
nearly four years, complicating the bank's efforts to justify
further interest rate hikes.
Oil prices edged higher after plunging more than 10% on
Monday, with Brent crude futures retopping $100.94 a
barrel on supply concerns.
DOLLAR ADVANCES AFTER BRIEF DIP
"The key question is whether participants see this as a
genuine extension that brings a deal closer, or simply a delay
that prolongs uncertainty," said Chris Weston, head of research
at Pepperstone.
"The U.S. dollar has seen selling on the back of the move
lower in crude and the broader repositioning in risk. However,
there is little conviction in the move, and conditions remain
ripe for sharp reversals."
Iran launched multiple waves of missiles at Israel, the
Israeli military said, with Iran's elite Revolutionary Guards
saying they were launching fresh attacks on U.S. targets, and
describing Trump's words as "psychological operations" that were
"worn out" and having no impact on Tehran's fight.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency
against a basket of peers, rose 0.2% to 99.387 after dipping
0.4% to near a two-week low on Monday.
The index has strengthened 1.8% this month, on track for its
strongest monthly gain since October, as the conflict fuelled
safe-haven demand and resulted in traders no longer fully
pricing a rate cut this year from the Federal Reserve.
That supportive case is likely to continue to hold true,
with the impact of higher oil prices trickling through and no
resolution to the war in sight, said Sim Moh Siong, FX
strategist at OCBC.
"In the near term, the dollar may stay supported as long as
there are no visible signs of de-escalation," he added.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which
typically moves in step with Fed rate expectations, rose 7.7
basis points to 3.908% in Asian hours after dropping 6.3 bps on
Monday.