(Updates with comment, refreshes prices at 0758 GMT)
By Brigid Riley and Amanda Cooper
TOKYO/LONDON, June 17 (Reuters) - The dollar held firm
on Monday, while the euro traded around more than one-month
lows, as political turmoil in Europe ramped up the level of
uncertainty among traders, while investors awaited more data to
gauge the strength of the U.S. economy.
Investors have been contemplating the risk of a budget
crisis at the heart of the euro area, as far right and leftist
parties gain momentum ahead of France's snap parliamentary
election, pressuring President Emmanuel Macron's centrist
administration.
Even after the French financial markets endured a brutal
sell-off late last week, European Central Bank policymakers have
no plans to discuss emergency purchases of French bonds, five
sources told Reuters.
The euro eased 0.1% to $1.0699, after falling to
its lowest since May 1 at $1.06678 on Friday. The currency also
logged its biggest weekly decline since April at 0.88% last
week.
"With traders wanting certainty, this may not come until
after the second-round vote (July 7), so the prospect of further
downside in French and EU markets is real," Chris Weston, head
of research at Pepperstone, said.
The dollar index, which tracks the U.S. currency
against a basket of six others, held around its highest since
May 2, driven mostly by weakness in the euro.
The single European currency "accounts for around 57% of the
US dollar index weighting, the fall of the euro has indirectly
benefited the dollar", said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst
at City Index.
Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said on
Sunday it was a "reasonable prediction" that the U.S. central
bank would cut interest rates once this year, waiting until
December to do it.
The Fed published updated projections last week that showed
the median forecast from all 19 U.S. central bankers was for a
single interest rate cut this year.
LIGHT WEEK FOR DATA
This week is light on major U.S. economic data to help
clarify the Fed's outlook, although U.S. retail sales on Tuesday
and flash PMIs on Friday may give hints about consumption and
economic strength.
"Data would likely have to miss estimates by a wide margin
to rekindle bets of more Fed cuts, with the FOMC meeting still
freshly in the minds of investors," said City Index's Simpson.
Sterling fell 0.1% to $1.267. Britain's inflation
pressures still appear too hot for the Bank of England to cut
rates at its June 20 meeting, with a majority of economists
polled by Reuters forecasting the first cut would not come until
Aug. 1.
Meanwhile, the yen remained pinned near a 34-year low
against the dollar after the Bank of Japan on Friday pushed cuts
to bond buying amounts and details of its tapering plan to its
July policy meeting.
Governor Kazuo Ueda said he would not rule out raising
interest rates in July as weakness in the yen pushes up import
costs, although that may not be the hawkish statement that some
took it to be, said Hiroyuki Machida, director of Japan FX and
commodities sales at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group.
"The sense was that raising rates and tapering are two
separate things" that the BOJ would decide whether or not to do
based on different criteria, he said.
The yen steadied at 157.49, after slipping to
158.26 after Friday's decision, its lowest since April 29.
The yen's decline to 160.245 per dollar at the end of April
triggered several rounds of official Japanese intervention
totalling 9.79 trillion yen.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was last up 0.7% at
$66,220, while ether fell 1.2% to $3,553, according to
LSEG data.