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Chinese authorities pledge more support for economy
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Fed outlook remains top of investors' minds
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Dollar, US yields steady near milestone highs
(Updates to Asia afternoon)
By Rae Wee
SINGAPORE, Dec 24 (Reuters) - Asian stocks edged up on
Tuesday, though moves were subdued in a holiday-curtailed week,
while the greenback held near a two-year high helped by elevated
U.S. Treasury yields as investors prepared for fewer Federal
Reserve rate cuts in 2025.
In China, stocks extended gains slightly on the back of news
of more support from Beijing to shore up the country's
stuttering economic recovery.
The CSI300 blue-chip index and Shanghai
Composite Index last traded 0.9% higher each. Hong
Kong's Hang Seng Index advanced 1.08%.
Two sources told Reuters that Chinese authorities have
agreed to issue 3 trillion yuan ($411 billion) worth of special
treasury bonds next year, which would be the highest on record.
Chinese government bond yields ticked up in response, with
the 10-year yield gaining two basis points to
1.7125%.
The news came shortly after the country's finance
ministry said authorities will ramp up fiscal support for
consumption next year by raising pensions and medical insurance
subsidies for residents as well as expanding consumer goods
trade-ins.
Still, investors remain cautious on the outlook for the
world's second-largest economy, particularly as it faces the
threat of hefty tariffs from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump.
"China faces significant challenges entering 2025. The
ongoing real estate crisis has shattered consumer confidence
while a potential trade war with the United States could trigger
the worst growth slowdown in decades," said Ronald Temple, chief
market strategist at Lazard.
"Investor expectations have been raised and dashed more than
once in China in recent years, and 2025 may prove to be no
different. China's economic and market outlook might largely
depend on the speed and magnitude of government reforms."
Elsewhere, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan rose 0.44%, tracking Wall Street's
overnight gain.
EUROSTOXX 50 futures ticked up 0.04%, while FTSE
futures rose 0.46%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq
futures each lost 0.05%.
Japan's Nikkei fell 0.24%.
Nippon Steel's ( NISTF ) $15 billion bid for U.S. Steel
has been referred to U.S. President Joe Biden, a White House
spokesman said, giving the president 15 days to decide on a tie
up he has previously said he opposes.
Shares of Nippon Steel ( NISTF ) last traded 1.2% higher.
FED FOCUS
After a recent run of central bank decisions, this week is
much quieter, leaving the rates theme the main driver of market
moves, with the dollar's continued strength a burden for
commodities and gold.
Markets are now pricing in just about 35 basis points of
easing for 2025, which has in turn sent U.S. Treasury yields
surging and the dollar to new highs.
The two-year Treasury yield last stood at
4.3427%, while the benchmark 10-year yield steadied
near a seven-month high at 4.5907%.
"Like markets, the Fed will need to consider U.S. policies
on tariffs and immigration in its inflation and growth outlook.
We believe the subtle slowing in the U.S. labor market will
still be the Fed's paramount concern," said analysts at Citi
Wealth.
"While always uncertain, our base case expectation for a
3.75% policy rate is unchanged. It's a far cry from the 1.7%
U.S. policy rate average of the past 20 years."
Ahead of Trump's return to the White House in January,
global central banks have urged caution over their rate paths
due to uncertainty on how his planned tariffs, lower taxes and
immigration curbs might affect policy.
Data on Monday showed U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly
weakened in December as the post-election euphoria fizzled and
concerns about future business conditions emerged.
In currencies, the dollar index held near a two-year
high at 108.14, having climbed more than 2% for the month thus
far.
The euro eased 0.09% to $1.03955, while the yen
languished near a five-month low at 156.99 per dollar.
Japan's Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato on Tuesday
reiterated Tokyo's discomfort over excessive foreign exchange
moves and put speculators on notice that authorities are ready
to act to stabilise a faltering yen.
The strong dollar combined with high bond yields to weigh on
gold, which stood at $2,618.10 an ounce after slipping 1%
last week.
Oil prices edged higher, with Brent crude futures
rising 0.5% to $72.99 a barrel, while U.S. crude gained
0.46% to $69.56 per barrel.