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Relief over potential aversion of U.S. government shutdown
boosts stocks
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Anxiety over escalating trade war weighs on markets
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Dollar recovers some losses, eyes on next week's Fed
meeting
By Rae Wee
SINGAPORE, March 14 (Reuters) - Asia shares rose on
Friday and global markets attempted a rebound after a brutal
selloff, while gold reached a record as an escalation of global
trade tensions left investors nervous and sparked a flight to
safe-haven assets.
Relief over the likely aversion of a U.S. government shutdown
boosted stocks in early Asian trade, after Senate Democrat Chuck
Schumer said he would vote to advance a Republican stopgap
funding bill, signalling that his party would provide the
necessary support.
U.S. stock futures rose sharply in response, with the Nasdaq
up 0.87% and S&P 500 futures advancing 0.7%.
EUROSTOXX 50 futures similarly edged up 0.04% and
FTSE futures gained 0.1%.
"For today, at least, this news from Congress is positive
for market sentiment at this point," said Alvin Tan, head of
Asia FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
traded 0.2% higher, though was on track to lose
more than 2% for the week, as global trade disputes battered
global stocks.
In the latest in a long list of tariff threats, U.S. President
Donald Trump said on Thursday he would hit imports of European
wine and spirits with duties of 200% if the EU did not remove
retaliatory surcharges on American whiskey and other products
that come into effect next month.
"Trump is making it very clear that if anyone were to
retaliate, his counter-escalation is going to be even sharper,"
said Vishnu Varathan, head of macro research for Asia ex-Japan
at Mizuho.
The latest developments sparked Thursday's steep selloff on Wall
Street and the confirmation that the S&P 500 was in a
correction, just a week after the Nasdaq confirmed the
same.
"I think Trump 2.0 is nothing like Trump 1.0. This time, the
president seems prepared to let U.S. markets and the economy
suffer while he implements his 'America first' goals," said
Michael Strobaek, global chief investment officer at Lombard
Odier.
Typical safe haven assets like gold have meanwhile been
beneficiaries of the escalating trade war, as the yellow metal
reached a record high of $2,990.09 an ounce on Friday. It
was on track to gain 2.6% for the week.
Elsewhere, Japan's Nikkei reversed early losses to
rise 0.12%.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index similarly gained 1%, but
was headed for a 2.3% weekly decline. China's CSI300 blue-chip
index advanced 1.4% and was set to rise 0.6% for the
week.
DOLLAR TROUBLE
The dollar regained some lost ground on Friday thanks to safe
haven flows, but was not too far off recent lows as worries of
an impending U.S. recession kept pressure on the greenback.
The euro last traded 0.1% lower at $1.0841, while
sterling fell 0.05% to $1.2944.
The euro has drawn additional support from Germany's fiscal
reset plan involving a 500 billion euro fund for infrastructure
and sweeping changes to borrowing rules to revive growth and
ramp up military spending in Europe's largest economy.
Germany's outgoing lower house of parliament will vote on the
measures on March 18 before the formation of a new parliament on
March 25.
Next week will also see a slew of central bank meetings
including the U.S. Federal Reserve, as investors await further
guidance on the rate outlook amid uncertainty over Trump's trade
policies and their impact on U.S. growth and inflation.
"Our assessment is the direction of travel is consistent,
rates will go lower. It's just a question of timing, when they
get to do it," said Mizuho's Varathan.
"I think eventually, the tariffs will be an inconvenience,
not an impediment to the Fed cuts, because even if the prices go
up... it is a negative demand shock and people are worse off,
not better off."
The dollar was last up 0.3% against the yen at 148.25,
though was set for a slight weekly loss against the Japanese
currency as bets for more Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hikes ramp
up. The BOJ also meets next week.
In commodities, oil prices were higher after falling in the
previous session.
Brent futures rose 0.54% to $70.26 a barrel. U.S.
West Texas Intermediate crude futures tacked on 0.6% to
$66.96 per barrel.