* Asian stocks set for consecutive weeks in the red
* Traders rapidly cut Fed rate cut wagers for the year
* Investors focus on oil prices, inflation risks
* Dollar stands tall, pushing yen to 20-month lows
(Updates to Asia afternoon)
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, March 13 (Reuters) - Asian stocks slumped on
Friday, poised for a second straight weekly decline as
fast-dwindling hopes of a resolution to the U.S. and Israel's
war with Iran kept oil prices aloft, casting a shadow over
global markets and spurring inflation fears.
The U.S. dollar has become the safe-haven of choice during
the tumult, putting most other currencies under pressure. The
dollar was set for a second consecutive week of gains and is up
2% since the war broke out at the end of February.
The yen hit its weakest level since July 2024 at
159.69 per U.S. dollar on Friday as Japan warned that it was
ready to take action to protect against yen declines. It was
last at 159.41.
Analysts said the bar for intervention is higher this time
around as any intervention now could prove futile in the face of
the relentless dollar buying.
In Asia, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
slipped 1%, on course for a 2.2% decline for the
week. Japan's Nikkei fell 1.4%, while tech-heavy South
Korean stocks slid nearly 2%.
European futures point to a slightly higher open
but may struggle to hold those gains on weak sentiment.
Oil prices remained close to $100 per barrel level, although
they eased a bit on Friday after U.S. issued a 30-day license
for countries to buy Russian oil and petroleum products
currently stranded at sea.
Brent futures were last at $100.30 a barrel, while
West Texas Intermediate crude was at $95.37 a barrel.
They were both hovering around $60 levels at the start of 2026.
"Headlines are coming at the market like water from a fire
hose, which is impacting the price of oil, and consequently,
financial markets," said Mitch Reznick, group head of fixed
income at Federated Hermes.
"The question remains to what extent we are caught in the
$80-plus range even as the headlines become banal with their
frequency and contradictions."
With Iran stepping up attacks across the Middle East as its
new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei vowed to keep the Strait of
Hormuz shipping lane closed, investors are bracing for a
prolonged conflict and higher oil prices.
The spectre of rising inflation has led markets to rapidly
reprice what they expect from central banks this year, with
traders now anticipating just 20 basis points of easing from the
Federal Reserve compared to 50 bps of cuts priced in last month.
The selloff in global stocks and bonds shows no signs of
easing. U.S. stocks fell sharply overnight and the two-year
Treasury yields, which typically move in step with Fed interest
rate expectations, scaled a six-month high on Thursday.
"With the possibility of higher oil prices still elevated,
investors should be prepared for continued volatility and
potentially further downside in the near term," said Vasu Menon,
managing director of investment strategy at OCBC in Singapore.
SHIFTING RATES OUTLOOK
Jose Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers, said
the impact of rising oil prices on corporate margins, inflation
expectations, rate-cut prospects and yields is sparking
volatility, leaving participants with few places to hide.
"Indeed, sinking optimism about Fed rate reductions amid
strengthening cost pressures is weighing on traditional safe
havens such as silver, gold, and government debt."
The two-year note yield eased 3 bps to 3.730%
after hitting its highest level since August 22 on Thursday. The
yield has gained 35 bps in the two weeks since the war started.
The yield on the longer-dated 30-year bond has
risen 24 bps this month.
Investor focus will switch to a slate of policy meetings
next week with the Fed, the Bank of Japan, the European Central
Bank and the Bank of England all due to meet, with most expected
to keep rates unchanged. The Reserve Bank of Australia is
broadly expected to hike rates next week.
In currencies, the euro was steady at $1.15035, on
course for a weekly decline of nearly 1%. The dollar index
was at 99.816, set for about a 1% weekly advance.
Gold was 0.4% higher at $5,101 per ounce on Friday
but set for a 1% drop for the week.