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Asian stocks nudge higher ahead of Fed policy announcement
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U.S.-China trade talks end without major breakthroughs
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Investors await central bank decisions and corporate
earnings
(Updates markets, adds European earnings)
By Gregor Stuart Hunter
SINGAPORE, July 30 (Reuters) - Asian stocks struggled
for clear direction on Wednesday, with investors cautious after
trade talks between the U.S. and China ended without any
substantive agreement and ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy
announcement.
Early gains for MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan petered out, leaving the index
trading flat in the afternoon as traders digested corporate
earnings results.
In early European trade, pan-region futures were up
0.15%, German DAX futures rose 0.31% and FTSE futures
were flat.
Australian shares closed up 0.7%, while Japan's
Nikkei stock index dipped 0.1% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng
Index skidded 1.3%.
The euro edged up from a one-month low, rising
0.1% to $1.1555, as markets weighed the EU's trade deal with the
Trump administration.
Traders are preparing for several central bank decisions,
key economic reports and corporate earnings during the next few
days, culminating in U.S. President Donald Trump's August 1
tariff deadline.
The Federal Reserve is expected to leave interest rates
unchanged at its policy meeting later on Wednesday, though it
could see rare dissent by some central bank officials in favour
of lower borrowing costs.
"With labour market conditions near full employment, most
Fed officials want to wait and see how tariffs impact
inflation," said Tom Kenny, senior international economist at
ANZ in Sydney.
Some officials are concerned that tariffs could drive higher
inflation expectations, leading to more persistent price
pressures rather than a one-off hit, he said on a podcast. "Our
expectation is that the Fed should be in a position to cut rates
at the September meeting."
U.S. Treasury bonds advanced ahead of the Fed's meeting,
pushing yields to the lowest in almost four weeks following a
strong auction of seven-year notes that quelled concerns about
diminishing demand for government debt.
The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes
was last 4.328%, the lowest level since July 3. The two-year
yield, which rises with traders' expectations of
higher Fed fund rates, was little changed at 3.873%.
TARIFFS, CORPORATE EARNINGS
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep policy unchanged on
Thursday and the focus will be on its comments to gauge when the
next rate increase will come after a trade deal between Japan
and the U.S. cleared the way for the bank to resume rate hikes.
Ahead of Trump's deadline to reach a deal to avert
"Liberation Day" tariffs, some countries' talks with the U.S.
looked set to go down to the wire.
U.S. and Chinese officials agreed to seek an extension of
their 90-day tariff truce on Tuesday, though no major
breakthroughs were announced.
U.S. officials said it was up to Trump to decide whether to
extend a trade truce that expires on August 12 or potentially
let tariffs shoot back up to triple-digits.
India is also bracing for higher U.S. tariffs - likely
between 20% and 25% - on some exports as it holds off on fresh
trade concessions ahead of the August 1 deadline, two Indian
government sources said.
Meanwhile, three South Korean cabinet-level officials met
with U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick in a last-ditch push
for a deal.
Oil prices rose as potential supply shortages came into
focus after Trump gave Moscow an abbreviated deadline toward
ending the war in Ukraine. Brent crude futures rose 14
cents, or 0.2%, to $72.40 a barrel.
Earnings were a mixed bag on Wednesday. UBS Group
reported profits that exceeded analysts' expectations, while
HSBC profits missed estimates as its losses from China
mounted, while German sportswear maker Adidas warned
of the impact to its earnings from U.S. tariffs.
U.S. tech megacaps Microsoft ( MSFT ) and Meta are
due to report earnings on Wednesday that will set the tone for
the rest of the week and the earnings season.
"It's been a solid U.S. reporting season so far, but these
megacap names need to run it hot and blow the lights out, given
the bar to please has been sufficiently raised," said Chris
Weston, head of research at Pepperstone.