* Brent holds above $100/bbl on more shipping disruptions
* Japan's Nikkei slides nearly 3%, South Korea down almost
4%
* Markets see one-in-three chance of Fed rate hike next week
* Yen languishing at 40-year lows as dollar gains
By Stella Qiu
SYDNEY, July 24 (Reuters) - Asian shares fell on Friday as
oil prices stormed back above $100 a barrel amid an intensifying
conflict in the Gulf, rattling bond markets and reviving fears
of a fresh inflation shock.
Brent crude held at $100.85 a barrel, after surging
7% overnight to a two-month high of $102 as attacks by
Iran-aligned Houthis on Saudi tankers in the Red Sea choked off
a second crucial Middle East artery for global oil supplies,
alongside Iran's near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
Two weeks since the effective collapse of an interim truce
meant to end the war, the U.S. military launched air strikes on
Iran into Friday morning while Tehran fired at neighbouring Arab
countries that host U.S. bases. With the conflict showing little
signs of abating, Brent has soared nearly 40% this month alone.
"Two of the world's busiest shipping corridors are under
threat in the same month, and markets are only just beginning to
work out what that means," said Nigel Green, CEO of deVere
Group, a financial advisory firm.
"With that ceasefire now collapsed and oil back above $100,
the drop which gave the Fed room to relax may already be
reversing ... This looks less like a short-lived spike and more
like a genuine reopening of the inflation question."
News that the U.S. administration will impose higher tariffs
on goods from 60 trading partners also did not help the
inflation picture, with 30-year Treasury yields nearing their
highest levels since 2007 and benchmark European borrowing costs
climbing to highs last seen in 2011.
Markets bet central banks will have to turn more hawkish,
with a one-in-three chance of a rate hike from the Federal
Reserve as soon as next week - a sea change from merely a week
ago - while a move in September is more than fully priced in.
The European Central Bank left rates unchanged overnight but
a September rate hike is about 70% priced in.
In Asia, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan fell 1% and Japan's Nikkei
slid 2.9%. South Korea's KOSPI dropped 3.7%.
Nasdaq futures were last up 0.1% as bumper results
from Intel ( INTC ) offered only fleeting support in the face of
broader worries about oil and rates.
Wall Street fell overnight after Alphabet and
Tesla, the first two of the so-called "Magnificent
Seven" megacap tech companies to report this season, spooked
investors as both burned through cash in their most recent
quarter for their big spending on AI infrastructure.
DOLLAR CATCHING YIELD SUPPORT
In bond markets, the benchmark 10-year U.S. yield
held at 4.7013% on Friday, after hitting an over
18-month high of 4.7030% overnight. 30-year bond yields were
steady at 5.17%, just below a 19-year peak of 5.201%.
The higher Treasury yields helped the U.S. dollar up
generally, with the dollar index holding at 101.46 after
a 0.3% rise overnight to the highest level this month.
The beleaguered yen was pinned near 40-year lows at 163.89
per dollar, drawing a warning from the U.S. Treasury that
excess volatility in the currency was undesirable.
Japan's finance minister has repeatedly issued verbal
warnings about a possible intervention in the currency market,
after carrying out yen-buying operations in April and May, with
the yen weakening beyond the 160 level.
"Against the backdrop of surging energy prices, the hawkish
Fed repricing, and the yen's loss of safe-haven status, any
comments from Japanese officials today about being ready to
intervene or faster BoJ rate hike will likely be ignored," said
Tony Sycamore, an analyst at IG.
"At this point, trying to support the yen here would be akin
to standing in the way of a bullet train."
Precious metals took a hit, with gold off 0.1% at
$4,043 an ounce after falling 2% overnight. Silver held
at $57.45 an ounce after a decline of 3.4% overnight.