* Oil futures notch three-week peak on Iran worries
* Kospi, Nikkei, Taiwan stocks mark record highs on AI
optimism
* 44% of S&P 500 by market cap due to report this week
* Central banks in Japan, US, UK, Europe and Canada seen
on hold
(Updates prices)
By Tom Westbrook
SINGAPORE, April 27 (Reuters) - Oil climbed on Monday as
stalled U.S.-Iran peace talks prolonged the disruption of Middle
East energy exports, while renewed excitement about artificial
intelligence spending drove up chip stocks at the beginning of a
week where war, central banks and tech earnings are in focus.
Benchmark Brent crude futures rose around 2% to
touch a three-week high of $107.97 a barrel in Asia trade, a
level that has stoked inflation worries and prompted traders to
all but price out rate cuts in developed markets this year.
S&P 500 futures wobbled in the Asia session but
tacked on small gains of around 0.2% after markets in Taiwan
, Tokyo and Seoul followed Wall Street to
notch record highs on a new wave of AI optimism.
Currency trading was broadly steady - with the euro
at $1.1724 and yen at 159.32 per dollar. Bond markets
were calm ahead of central bank meetings in Japan, the U.S.,
Britain, Europe, Canada and a smattering of emerging markets.
While a ceasefire has frozen most fighting in the war
triggered by U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran two months ago,
markets are focused on the shuttered Strait of Hormuz, where
barely any ships carrying oil and gas have transited.
The average LNG price for June delivery into northeast Asia
was $16.70 per million British thermal units last week,
nearly 61% above pre-war levels.
Goldman Sachs analysts lifted year-end oil price forecasts
sharply from $80 to $90 a barrel for Brent, and even that rests
on normalisation of Gulf exports by the end of June.
"Non-linear price increases are likely if inventories drop
to critically low levels, which we have not seen in the last few
decades," they warned in a note.
U.S. President Donald Trump cancelled a trip to Islamabad by
U.S. envoys for talks on the weekend, but investors were buoyed
slightly by an Axios report saying Iran wants to make a deal on
opening the strait first and postpone nuclear talks until later.
RATES AND HYPERSCALERS EARNINGS
Beyond oil derivatives and the even more stretched physical
market where jet fuel fetches $185 a barrel in Singapore
, equity investors have hoped for a breakthrough and
tried to look past the oil shock to an AI trend that is seen as
unstoppable.
"AI is something that people are very optimistic about and
very much considered a winner," said Mike Seidenberg, senior
portfolio manager for Allianz Technology Trust.
"It's the top of the portfolio."
Intel's ( INTC ) forecast for second-quarter revenue above
Wall Street expectations last week set off the latest round of
buying that has pushed the total value of the chip-maker-heavy
stock markets in Taiwan and South Korea above Germany's.
U.S. tech earnings headline the week ahead, with 44% of the
S&P 500 by market cap due to report and the focus on capex at
Microsoft ( MSFT ), Alphabet, Amazon ( AMZN ) and Meta
Platforms ( META ) which report on Wednesday. Apple ( AAPL )
reports on Thursday.
Major central banks are expected to stay on hold this week,
though aggressive bets on future rate hikes in Britain and
Europe could be tested if policymakers strike a cautious tone.
The Bank of Japan is the first off the rank and is expected
to keep its short-term policy rate steady at 0.75% on Tuesday.
The Federal Reserve is also expected to leave rates where
they are at what is likely to be Jerome Powell's final meeting
in the chair.
The European Central Bank and Bank of England are likewise
expected to hold, but their tone and outlook could challenge
market pricing for both banks to make two 25-basis-point hikes
later in the year.