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Euro hits 4-year high as speculation rife before expected
Fed
rate cut
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Bank of Canada also set to cut rates due to weak labour
market
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Gold reaches new highs as investors seek safe haven
By Rocky Swift
TOKYO, Sept 17 (Reuters) - The dollar was on the
defensive, shares edged lower, and gold scaled new heights on
Wednesday as global markets counted down to an anticipated rate
cut by the Federal Reserve later in the day and waited on
signals around the extent of future easing.
The euro surged to a four-year high against the greenback in
the prior session on the Fed easing bets, while oil remained
firm following Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refineries and
ports.
The Fed is expected to cut its benchmark interest rate by a
quarter of a percentage point to the 4.00%-4.25% range at the
end of its monetary policy meeting later in the global day. The
main focus beyond the rate decision will be on Chair Jerome
Powell's comments on the outlook for U.S. monetary policy.
"Markets are effectively daring the Fed to over-deliver on
the dovish side," said Dilin Wu, research strategist at
Pepperstone. "The bigger question, though, is whether Powell can
satisfy markets already leaning heavily on a dovish view, or
whether conditions are ripe for a near-term shakeout in both USD
and gold positioning."
The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against
a basket of currencies of other major trading partners, edged up
0.1% to 96.689 after a 0.7% slide on Tuesday to the lowest since
early July.
The European single currency was down 0.1% at
$1.1857, after touching $1.1867 on Tuesday, its highest level
since September 2021. The dollar was little changed at 146.52
yen following a 0.6% slide in the previous session.
"If the (Fed) chair is more dovish than expected, of course,
you would expect that to weigh on the dollar, but really, how
much more bearish can you get from here?" Mahjabeen Zaman, the
head of foreign exchange research at ANZ, said on a podcast.
"We've already got more than five cuts priced in for the cycle."
Stephen Miran was sworn into his Fed position on Tuesday
morning, after the U.S. Senate narrowly confirmed him to the
central bank's Board of Governors ahead of its policy meeting. A
U.S. appeals court separately declined to let President Donald
Trump fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was down 0.2%, after Wall Street closed lower.
Japan's Nikkei stock index slid 0.1% after a record
close on Tuesday.
European and U.S. stock futures were firmer after a largely
soft cash session overnight. The pan-region Euro Stoxx 50
futures were up 0.35%, German DAX futures
gained 0.4% and FTSE futures added 0.2%. U.S. stock
futures, the S&P 500 e-minis, crept up 0.1%.
The Bank of Canada is also expected to cut rates on
Wednesday to contend with a flagging labour market and trade
frictions. Soft trade data from Japan showing exports fell for a
fourth straight month in August highlighted the toll on major
economies from the wide-ranging tariffs imposed by the Trump
administration.
U.S. crude dipped 0.05% to $64.49 a barrel after a
three-day surge. Russia's oil pipeline monopoly Transneft has
warned producers they may have to cut output following Ukraine's
drone attacks on critical facilities, three industry sources
said.
Spot gold edged slightly higher to $3,690.32 per
ounce, after the yellow metal crossed $3,700 for the first time
in the previous session.
(Editing by Shri Navaratnam)