(Updates with European stocks open in headline, 1st, 3rd
paragraphs. Adds analyst comment in 18th-20th paragraphs.
Updates prices.)
*
Fed symposium starts Thursday with focus on Powell's
speech
Friday
*
Traders hungry for hints on whether Fed will cut rates in
September
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Trump raises pressure on Fed with demand for Governor Cook
to
resign
By Kevin Buckland
TOKYO, Aug 21 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar hovered below
a one-week high on Thursday and European stock markets opened
flat as investors braced for three days of potentially
market-moving news from the Federal Reserve's annual symposium
in Jackson Hole.
Central bankers from around the world will attend the event,
which begins later in the day, with the key focus on Fed Chair
Jerome Powell's speech on Friday as traders try to gauge the
chances of a September rate cut.
The pan-European STOXX 600 index and Germany's DAX
were little changed at the open. Britain's FTSE 100
rose 0.1%, while France's CAC 40 fell 0.1%.
"I remain an equity bull, and a buyer of dips, viewing this
recent swoon as more of an example of some froth being taken off
the top of the market," said Michael Brown, senior research
strategist at Pepperstone.
"Strong earnings growth, a resilient underlying economy, and
calmer tone on trade, should all keep the path of least
resistance higher, while any potential Fed easing would probably
provide a helping hand as well."
Underlying momentum for equities, which have been on a tear
of late, remained strong with Australia's benchmark
rallying 0.9% to hit a record. Other indexes in Asia lost some
ground but haven't strayed too far from recent highs.
Japan's Nikkei, which hit an all-time intraday peak
on Tuesday, drooped 0.6%. South Korea's KOSPI bounced
0.7%. It dipped to a six-week low on Wednesday, but is not too
far off from a four-year high marked on July 31.
Nasdaq futures pointed slightly higher, following a
0.7% slide for the Nasdaq Composite overnight. S&P 500
futures were flat after the cash index slipped
0.2%.
Fed Chair Powell has said he is reluctant to cut rates
because of expected tariff-driven price pressures this summer.
Traders ramped up bets for a September cut following a
surprisingly weak payrolls report at the start of this month,
and were further encouraged after consumer price data showed
limited upward pressure from tariffs.
However, a hotter-than-expected producer price reading last
week complicated the policy picture.
Minutes out overnight from the Fed's July gathering, when
policymakers voted to keep rates steady, suggested that Fed Vice
Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman and Governor Christopher
Waller were alone in pushing for a rate cut.
That led traders to pare back odds to 80% for a
quarter-point Fed rate cut on September 17, down from 84% 24
hours earlier. They are currently pricing in a total of 53 basis
points of easing over the rest of the year.
President Donald Trump again exerted pressure on the
central bank overnight and that pressure is set to remain a key
focus for traders. His push for more control over the Fed
unnerved investors earlier in the year, sending the dollar
tumbling.
After continuing his attacks on Powell earlier in the week for
refraining from cutting rates this year, Trump on Wednesday
targeted Fed Governor Lisa Cook, demanding she resign amid
allegations of wrongdoing connected to mortgages on properties
she owns in Georgia and Michigan.
Cook said she had "no intention of being bullied to step
down".
"Trump's push to confirm Stephen Miran could add another
vote for cuts in September, and if he was to successfully remove
Cook, the Fed Board could end up with four members out of seven
supporting his lower rates call," said Rodrigo Catril, a
strategist at National Australia Bank.
Trump nominated Council of Economic Advisers Chair Miran as
a Fed governor earlier this month, following the surprise
resignation of Adriana Kugler.
The main topic of the Jackson Hole conference will be labour
markets, which is a relief to some traders who worried that
policymakers would put a spotlight on inflation or the sensitive
issue of central bank independence, said Toshinobu Chiba, a fund
manager at Simplex Asset Management.
"A lot of active managers, including me, believed there was
a chance central bankers could show a hawkish stance at this
meeting," said Tokyo-based Chiba. "But when I think about this
theme, the possibility of that scenario has decreased."
"The U.S. labour market has weakened recently, as we have
seen in the employment results this month, so like Powell has
mentioned, the possibility for a rate cut is open," he added.
The currency market has largely taken the latest
developments in stride. The dollar index was steady at
98.33 on Thursday, after grinding to its highest since August 12
at 98.441 a day earlier.
U.S. two-year Treasury yields, which tend to be
sensitive to monetary policy expectations, rose 1.2 basis points
to 3.756% on Thursday, while 10-year yields rose 0.8
basis points to 4.304%.
Japanese government bond yields edged higher, with the 20-year
yield advancing to 2.655% for the first time
since late 1999 and the 10-year yield rising to
its highest since October 2008 at 1.610%. Investors are wary of
increased fiscal spending amid pressure for the Japanese prime
minister to step down.
The dollar advanced 0.2% to 147.58 yen.
The euro and sterling were flat at
$1.1641 and $1.3446, respectively.
Gold eased 0.3% to around $3,338 per ounce.
Oil prices rose as larger-than-expected declines in crude
oil and fuel inventories in the U.S. supported expectations for
steady demand.
Brent crude futures were up 0.9% to $67.47 a barrel,
after gaining 1.6% in the previous session. U.S. West Texas
Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 1.1% to $63.37,
after climbing 1.4% on Wednesday.