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Markets eye dovish tilt at Fed as Miran nominated
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Gold futures gain on uncertainty over US tariff
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Oil prices fall on report of US-Russia truce deal
(Updated at 4:19 p.m. ET (2019 GMT)
By Chris Prentice and Amanda Cooper
NEW YORK/LONDON, Aug 8 (Reuters) - Global equities rose
on Friday as investors clung to the view that U.S. interest
rates may fall further this year, with European shares posting
their biggest weekly gain in 12 weeks on strength from banking
stocks.
U.S. gold futures hit a record high on uncertainty over
whether country-specific U.S. import tariffs would apply to the
most commonly traded sizes of gold bars.
Investors watched for signs of a potential Russia-Ukraine
ceasefire after a report that the United States and Russia are
aiming to reach a deal to halt the war in Ukraine.
President Donald Trump on Thursday moved to reshape the U.S.
central bank, nominating Council of Economic Advisers' Chair
Stephen Miran for a short-term board seat after Adriana Kugler's
abrupt exit.
Miran holds similar views to Trump, who has berated Powell
for being "too late" in cutting rates, even though growth is
holding up and inflation is ticking higher.
"It locks in a vote for rate cuts at all the meetings
between now and the end of January," said Ray Attrill, head of
FX strategy at National Australia Bank ( NAUBF ) in Sydney.
"Markets are already travelling with a very strong
expectation that there will be a rate cut," he added. "Though
there's a question mark over whether he'll succeed in
ratification in time for the September meeting."
Bloomberg News reported that Fed Governor Christopher Waller
was emerging as a leading contender for the role of Fed chair.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe
rose 0.52%. On Wall Street, the Dow Jones
Industrial Average rose 0.47% to 44,175.61, the S&P 500
added 0.78% to 6,389.45 and the Nasdaq Composite
climbed 0.98% to 21,450.02.
The pan-European STOXX 600 index rose 0.2% to
finish the week up more than 2% as largely upbeat corporate
results and firming bets of more Fed rate cuts lifted prices
from last week's five-week lows.
Shares also saw a lift from optimism that hefty U.S. tariffs
that kicked in on Thursday would be subject to negotiation.
Zurich's SMI index gained as traders continued to shrug
off Switzerland's 39% U.S. tariff coming into effect.
"The effective shock (from tariffs) is there. So the
question now is: How is it going to impact the economy and the
data, and when? Because up to now, let's be fair, it's been less
severe than most have anticipated," Lombard Odier economist Samy
Chaar said.
Overall tariffs may be lower than many had feared back in
April, but they are at their highest in at least a century.
Relief over lower-than-expected duties may be short-lived as
a result. For instance, the European Union now has a 15% tariff
rather than the 50% that Trump had threatened, Chaar said.
"That's the vulnerability in the market... It is focusing on
the good news, which is not getting the 50%, but getting the
15%. And then the problem is that 15% is actually a big shock
and, at some point, it's going to show in the data," he said.
U.S. Treasury yields rose on Friday, with the yield on the
benchmark 10-year note poised for its first weekly gain in three
weeks after a series of weak auctions.
The U.S. Customs and Border Protection service released a ruling
on its website on Friday, which the gold industry interpreted as
meaning that country-specific U.S. import tariffs could apply to
the most-traded sizes of gold bars in the U.S.
December U.S. gold futures settled 1.1% higher at
$3,491.30 per ounce after hitting a record $3,534.10 when the
Financial Times first reported the news.
Spot gold eased 0.08% to $3,394.24 an ounce.
Brent oil futures settled up 0.24% at $66.59 per
barrel and U.S. crude settled unchanged at $63.88 per barrel.
Expectations of a potential truce between Russia and Ukraine
had weighed on oil prices earlier in the U.S. trading session.
Both benchmarks were also under pressure from a tariff-hit
economic outlook and finished with weekly losses.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose
3.9 basis points to 4.283%.
The Japanese yen weakened 0.44% against the
greenback.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro,
rose 0.31%, with the euro down 0.23%.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
closed down 0.63%, while Japan's Nikkei
rose 1.85%.
(Additional reporting by Gregor Stuart Hunter in Singapore and
Nikhil Sharma and Pranav Kashyap in Bengaluru; Editing by
Richard Chang, Daniel Wallis and Nia Williams)