SINGAPORE, July 17 (Reuters) - Gold hit a record and
bonds rallied on Wednesday as markets prepared for global
interest rates to fall, while stocks in Taiwan slipped after
U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump sounded lukewarm in his
commitment to the island's defence.
The S&P 500 scaled record highs overnight and futures
were steady in Asia. MSCI's broadest index of
Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was flat and
Japan's Nikkei rose 0.1%.
In Taiwan, chipmaker TSMC fell 2%, wiping out
almost $16 billion in market value, after Trump questioned U.S.
support in an interview with Bloomberg Businessweek, saying
Taiwan should pay for U.S. protection.
It was unclear exactly what Trump was planning, however his
selection of trade hawk J.D. Vance as his running mate had
already put markets on notice that China will figure heavily in
his foreign policy thinking.
Chinese stocks were subdued for a second day running.
The Taiwan dollar slipped slightly to a two-week
low. China's yuan steadied at 7.2676 per dollar.
"It is more and more clear to me that Trump should be
bullish USD for at least a while," said Brent Donnelly,
president at analytics firm Spectra Markets, as he's expected to
impose tariffs and run a higher budget deficit.
"It's hard to imagine USDCNH ending 2024 below 7.25 on a
Trump victory in November but it's not hard to imagine it
closing above 7.50," he said, referring to the dollar-yuan pair.
Elsewhere in Asia, New Zealand shares hit their
highest since March 2022 after data showed inflation slowing,
though the rates market dipped and the currency rose on
sticky domestically driven inflation.
Treasuries held gains that had pushed 10-year U.S. yields to
four-month lows overnight after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome
Powell said recent cooling in inflation readings "add somewhat
to confidence" that consumer prices are coming under control.
Fed funds futures have fully priced a U.S. rate cut
for September, followed by two more before the end of January
2025.
Ten-year yields were steady at 4.175% and
two-year yields hovered at 4.445%. Bond markets in
Australia, Japan and South Korea rallied.
Lower yields helped propel gold sharply higher
overnight and through chart resistance around $2,450 per ounce
despite a broadly firm dollar. It touched a record $2,478 in
Asia trade on Wednesday.
"Gold's ability to find support in any condition this year
is worth highlighting," said Commonwealth Bank of Australia
commodity strategist Vivek Dhar.
"While we think gold prices face uncertainty in coming
months, we think the uncertainty has a positive skew, raising
the risk that gold rises above our forecast of $2,500/oz by the
end of the year."
The Japanese yen was slightly weaker at 158.51 per
dollar, though after a few rounds of suspected yen buying from
Japanese authorities last week it remained well off a 38-year
low of 161.96 touched earlier in July.
The euro was steady at $1.0925. Oil prices slipped
slightly, weighed by signs of weakening demand from China.
Brent crude futures fell 13 cents to $83.60 a barrel
and U.S. crude futures were also 13 cents lower at $80.63
a barrel.
British inflation data is due later in the day where focus
will fall on services inflation, which is expected to run at a
still-hot 5.6% in June from a year earlier.
(Editing by Sam Holmes)