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Gold tumbles again after sharpest fall in over 5 years
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Benchmark US Treasury yields at 1-year closing low
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Planned Trump-Putin summit on hold; Trump-Xi meeting
uncertain
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Nikkei and yen react to new PM's stimulus drive
(Updates head of US open)
By Marc Jones and Rae Wee
LONDON/SINGAPORE, Oct 22 (Reuters) - The shine was
threatening to come off one of the year's best-performing trades
on Wednesday as gold extended its sharpest drop in over five
years, although equity bulls remained unfazed as bond markets
took the strain.
Gold remains firmly on course for its strongest year
since the 1979 oil crisis thanks to a 50% leap in price, but
another 2.5% drop during London trading - after Tuesday's 5%
dive - pushed it back towards $4,000 an ounce.
There has been no obvious catalyst for the plunge other than
general altitude sickness after a blockbuster run amid
uncertainty about a reshaping of the world order.
EUROPEAN STOCKS EDGE UP, BOND YIELDS NUDGE LOWER
"Gold was massively stretched, massively overbought. There's
been a lot of FOMO (fear of missing out) going into that
market," said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG, adding that
tech stocks and some other markets were in a similar position.
"For some of these other frothy markets, we're seeing little
flash crashes now ... We're just seeing little tremors in
markets, and potentially there's something more significant to
come."
Equity markets, which have also roared higher this year,
ignored gold's stumbles, gearing up instead for Tesla results
later, which will kick off earnings season for the super-sized
'Magnificent Seven' group of Wall Street stocks.
Europe's STOXX 600 index was inching higher, after
getting close to a new record high on Tuesday, although most
large Asian bourses ended lower overnight.
Geopolitics remained front and centre with a planned summit
between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President
Vladimir Putin now in doubt and ambiguity too over a potential
meeting between Trump and China's President Xi Jinping.
The selloff in gold injected some volatility into the
broader markets overnight, but it did little to knock other
safe-haven assets like bonds.
European government debt yields nudged lower, while 10-year
U.S. Treasury yields - often the biggest driver of global
borrowing costs - consolidated the 1-year closing low of 3.945%
they had recorded on Tuesday.
Investors scooped up UK 'gilts' too - but also sold the
pound - after data showed Britain's consumer price inflation and
a key underlying measure of price growth unexpectedly held
steady in September.
That pushed interest rate futures to price a roughly 75%
chance the Bank of England will now cut UK rates to 3.75% from
4% at its December meeting, up from about 46% before the data.
"We see clear and pronounced risks of a December cut versus
our base case of a February move," Morgan Stanley analyst Bruna
Skarica said, referring to the inflation numbers, adding a cut
could even happen in November.
JAPAN STIMULUS
Oil prices pushed higher for a second day, rising by about
2%, buoyed by hopes of progress for U.S. trade deals with China
and India.
Asia's other focus had been that new Japanese Prime Minister
Sanae Takaichi is preparing an economic stimulus package likely
to exceed last year's 13.9 trillion yen ($92.19 billion).
The Nikkei saw a late rally but MSCI's index of Asia-Pacific
shares outside Japan ended down 0.4%, while
Nasdaq and S&P 500 futures were flat after a mixed
session on Tuesday.
Shares of Netflix ( NFLX ) sank nearly 6% after the bell as
the streaming giant missed Wall Street's third-quarter earnings
targets, whereas General Motors' ( GM ) stock surged 15% after
raising its profit outlook.
In currencies, the dollar was heading for a
fourth day of modest gains while the yen ticked up to
151.64 per dollar after the stimulus report.
The package marks Takaichi's first major economic initiative
since the advocate of big fiscal spending took office on
Tuesday, reflecting her commitment to what she calls
"responsible proactive fiscal policy."
The Bank of Japan also meets next week, where expectations
are for the central bank - like the ECB in Europe - to stand pat
on rates.
WAITING ON CENTRAL BANK CUES
The U.S. Federal Reserve also meets next week, and investors
have almost fully priced in a 25-basis-point rate cut.
The dearth of U.S. economic data due to the ongoing
government shutdown means that policymakers could be left flying
blind at the meeting, a less-than-ideal situation as they remain
divided over which risks deserve the most attention.
Trump on Tuesday rebuffed a request by top Democratic
lawmakers to meet until the three-week-old U.S. government
shutdown ends.
The shutdown has in turn left currencies largely rangebound
over the past few sessions due to the lack of fresh catalysts
from data releases, although inflation data will be published on
Friday.