SYDNEY/SINGAPORE, Aug 6 (Reuters) - Japanese stocks
jumped at the open on Tuesday, underpinning a recovery across
battered Asian share markets and even triggering circuit
breakers in some, after central bank officials said all the
right things to soothe investor nerves.
The Nikkei soared more than 8% to above 34,000 in
the opening minutes of trading, rebounding sharply from its
31,458 close on Monday. The index had plummeted 12.4% in its
worst selloff since the 1987 Black Monday crash.
Wall Street also looked steadier with S&P 500 futures
rebounding 0.9% in early trade, while Nasdaq futures rose
1.2%. The S&P 500 had lost 3.00% over Monday, with the
Nasdaq Composite down 3.43%.
"After the breathtaking and historic moves seen across Asian
markets yesterday, driven predominantly by a significant
liquidation of margin positions, we look for a solid counter
rally on open today," said Chris Weston, head of research at
broker Pepperstone.
However, he cautioned that the level of implied volatility
for the Nikkei was at a stratospheric 70%, suggesting fireworks
were likely for some time yet.
"After such a furious shake-out of leveraged positioning,
with Japanese banks absolutely taken to the cleaners, it will
take the bravest of investors to buy with any conviction."
Currencies also seemed to be reversing some of Monday's
sharp moves, as the dollar edged up to 145.64 yen,
having sunk 1.5% on Monday to as deep as 141.675. The yen has
shot higher in recent sessions as investors were squeezed out of
carry trades, where they borrowed yen at low rates to buy higher
yielding assets.
The dollar pared its losses on the safe-haven Swiss franc,
holding at 0.8546 francs from a low of 0.8430.
Treasury yields had also come off their lows, in part in
reaction to a rebound in the U.S. ISM services index to 51.4 for
July. In particular, it employment index jumped 5 points to
51.1, suggesting last week's payrolls report may have overstated
the weakness in the labour market.
"Gauging the bottom of such historic selloffs is complicated
and investors will most likely remain cautious before pouring
capital back into equity markets," said Boris Kovacevic,
Austria-based global macro strategist at payments firm Convera.
"However, the dollar-yen pair has now fallen 12% since
peaking five weeks ago and is in highly oversold territory. The
yen is therefore vulnerable to any upside surprises in U.S.
macro data leading investors to reconsider the recession trade.
This would help Japanese equities stabilize," he said.
Yields on 10-year Treasury notes were back at
3.84%, having been as low as 3.667% at one stage.
Federal Reserve officials did their best to reassure markets
with Fed San Francisco President Mary Daly saying it was
"extremely important" to prevent the labor market tipping into a
downturn.
Daly added that her mind was open to cutting interest rates
as necessary and policy needed to be proactive.
The comments underpinned market expectations that the Fed
would cut by 50 basis points at its September meeting, with
futures implying an 87% chance of such an outsized move.
The market has around 115 basis points of easing priced in
for this year, and a similar amount for 2025.
In precious metals, gold failed to get a safe haven bid amid
talk investors were taking profits to cover losses elsewhere.
Spot gold stood at $2,409 an ounce after losing
1.52% overnight.
In energy markets, oil prices bounced early Tuesday as news
that several U.S. personnel were injured in an attack against a
military base in Iraq stoked fears of a wider conflict.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures CLc1 climbed
$1.18, or 1.6%, to $74.12 per barrel.