(Updates to afternoon New York time)
* Oil prices jump after Iran attacks UAE port, hits South
Korean vessel in Hormuz
* Central banks turn hawkish as oil-driven inflation
complicates rate outlook
* Yen volatility unsettles forex markets, analysts cite
possible Japanese intervention
By Karen Brettell and Nell Mackenzie
May 4 (Reuters) - Oil prices jumped about 5% on Monday
and stocks fell as Iran escalated its military campaign,
striking a UAE oil port with drones and hitting a South Korean
vessel in the Strait of Hormuz.
Brent futures rose $6.43, or 5.9%, to $114.60,
while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 4% to
$105.91.
The moves came after U.S. President Donald Trump pledged over
the weekend that the U.S. Navy would force the strait open.
The Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a fifth of the
world's seaborne oil and gas normally flows, has been severely
disrupted for two months. Monday's attacks reinforced fears that
any military effort to reopen it could trigger a broader
confrontation.
U.S. stocks fell broadly, with the Dow Jones Industrial
Average down 1.03%, the S&P 500 0.53% lower, and
the Nasdaq Composite off 0.41%.
"The longer oil prices stay elevated above $100 a barrel,
the more the fiscal stimulus from the tax cuts passed in 2025
shifts from being a stimulus to acting as a shock absorber,"
said Brock Weimer, analyst, investment strategy, at Edward
Jones.
MSCI's broadest index of global shares outside Japan
also fell, reversing earlier gains after
tech-heavy South Korean stocks closed over 5% higher.
In Europe, German carmakers dragged on regional equities after
Trump said on Friday he would raise tariffs on European cars and
trucks.
The pan-European STOXX 600 index fell 0.99%.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for the
euro zone bloc, rose 5 basis points to 3.08%. Bond yields move
inversely to prices. Markets in London were closed for a public
holiday.
CENTRAL BANKS TURN HAWKISH AS OIL FANS INFLATION FEARS
The oil-driven inflation threat pushed bond yields higher
and complicated the outlook for monetary policy globally.
Markets no longer expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates
this year, and have begun pricing in hikes from both the
European Central Bank and the Bank of England.
Barclays on Monday joined other brokerages in forecasting the
Fed will not ease policy this year. Friday's April payrolls
report could further shift expectations.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes
rose 7.6 basis points to 4.454%.
YEN VOLATILITY KEEPS FOREX TRADERS ON EDGE
Currency markets were also unsettled, with traders closely
watching for signs of Japanese intervention to support the yen.
The dollar fell sharply against the yen in Asian trading
before reversing direction. The Japanese yen was last
down 0.11% against the greenback at 157.25 per dollar.
Analysts believe Tokyo may have already intervened last week to
the tune of around $35 billion.
"The case for intervention is strong, given the inflationary
impact of a weaker yen via import prices, a U.S. administration
broadly comfortable with such action, and Japan's ample FX
reserves," said Roberto Cobo Garcia, head of G10 FX strategy at
BBVA.
The euro fell 0.3% to $1.1685 while sterling
weakened 0.34% to $1.3526.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro,
rose 0.35% to 98.50.
In commodity markets, spot gold fell 2.22% to
$4,511.36 an ounce.