(Updates with Bank of England decision, comments; refreshes
prices at 1137 GMT)
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, June 20 (Reuters) - Global shares neared record
highs on Thursday, supported by investor confidence in the
prospect of a drop in U.S. interest rates this year, while the
pound eased after the Bank of England left rates unchanged in a
dovish decision.
In an action-packed day for central banks in Europe, the BoE
kept UK rates at a 16-year high of 5.25%, but said the decision
not to cut had been "finely balanced", a sign traders took to
mean an August cut could be on the table.
The Swiss National Bank cut interest rates for a second time
this year, which knocked the Swiss franc ,
while Norway's Norges Bank left rates unchanged, as expected.
The MSCI All-World index was broadly
steady at 805.19, after marking another record high on
Wednesday, when U.S. markets were closed for a public holiday.
In Europe, the FTSE 100 traded at session highs
after the BoE decision, up 0.4% on the day, while the regional
STOXX 600 was up 0.5%.
The pound fell 0.2% to $1.2688 against the dollar,
while the euro edged up 0.1% against the pound to 84.53 pence.
The euro was down 0.1% against the dollar at $1.0728.
The stars are aligning for a UK rate cut. Data this week
showed consumer inflation fell to 2% for the first time since
2021 in May, although service-sector price pressures and wage
growth are still running hotter than the BoE would like.
"The broader message is that inflation pressures are fading
in the UK - a trend that was acknowledged by policymakers," UBS
Global Wealth Management chief euro zone and UK economist Dean
Turner said.
"To avoid a passive tightening in monetary policy, the
Bank will soon have to lower interest rates to keep up with
inflation on the way down, as it did on the way up. The Swiss
National Bank's decision to lower interest rates for a second
time this morning is illustrative of this broader trend. We
expect the BoE to join the cutting cycle when they meet in
August," he said.
DOLLAR GAINS
With the pound under pressure, the dollar index,
which measures the U.S. currency against six others, rose 0.2%
to 105.39.
Gold, which tends to perform well in an environment
of lower rates, was up 0.6% at $2,339 an ounce, having touched
its highest since the start of June earlier on.
A surge in tech stocks on Tuesday lifted AI chipmaker Nvidia ( NVDA )
above Microsoft ( MSFT ) as the world's most valuable
company, leading to a global rally in tech shares.
With U.S. markets closed for a holiday on Wednesday, stock
futures were in the green on Thursday, with those on the
tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 outperforming, up 0.6% compared
with a 0.4% rise in S&P 500 futures.
"Nvidia ( NVDA ) remains the most important stock in the world,"
Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone, said in a note.
Weston, though, cautioned that index market breadth has been
poor, with participation underwhelming, suggesting the rally has
been built on a shaky foundation.
"The fact remains the market is now all in on the rally in
AI-related names and big tech and given the lack of clear
immediate risk the path of least resistance is for higher equity
index levels."
Investors are waiting for more data to give an idea of when
the Federal Reserve might start cutting rates, after the U.S.
central bank last week projected just one rate cut in the year
and policymakers this week have also been cautious.
The Japanese yen reached its weakest level against
the dollar since late April on Thursday, touching 158.41. Much
of the decline in the value of the currency has been the product
of the wide gap between Japanese and U.S. interest rates.
In commodities, oil prices rose, with Brent up 0.3%
at $85.32 a barrel, while U.S. crude for August delivery
was up 0.1% at $80.77.
(Additional reporting by Stefano Rebaudo in Milan, Ankur
Banerjee in Singapore and Summer Zhen in Hong Kong; Editing by
Miral Fahmy and Andrew Heavens)