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GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares firm, pound slips after BoE decision tees up August cut
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares firm, pound slips after BoE decision tees up August cut
Jun 20, 2024 5:10 AM

(Updates with Bank of England decision, comments; refreshes

prices at 1137 GMT)

By Amanda Cooper

LONDON, June 20 (Reuters) - Global shares neared record

highs on Thursday, supported by investor confidence in the

prospect of a drop in U.S. interest rates this year, while the

pound eased after the Bank of England left rates unchanged in a

dovish decision.

In an action-packed day for central banks in Europe, the BoE

kept UK rates at a 16-year high of 5.25%, but said the decision

not to cut had been "finely balanced", a sign traders took to

mean an August cut could be on the table.

The Swiss National Bank cut interest rates for a second time

this year, which knocked the Swiss franc ,

while Norway's Norges Bank left rates unchanged, as expected.

The MSCI All-World index was broadly

steady at 805.19, after marking another record high on

Wednesday, when U.S. markets were closed for a public holiday.

In Europe, the FTSE 100 traded at session highs

after the BoE decision, up 0.4% on the day, while the regional

STOXX 600 was up 0.5%.

The pound fell 0.2% to $1.2688 against the dollar,

while the euro edged up 0.1% against the pound to 84.53 pence.

The euro was down 0.1% against the dollar at $1.0728.

The stars are aligning for a UK rate cut. Data this week

showed consumer inflation fell to 2% for the first time since

2021 in May, although service-sector price pressures and wage

growth are still running hotter than the BoE would like.

"The broader message is that inflation pressures are fading

in the UK - a trend that was acknowledged by policymakers," UBS

Global Wealth Management chief euro zone and UK economist Dean

Turner said.

"To avoid a passive tightening in monetary policy, the

Bank will soon have to lower interest rates to keep up with

inflation on the way down, as it did on the way up. The Swiss

National Bank's decision to lower interest rates for a second

time this morning is illustrative of this broader trend. We

expect the BoE to join the cutting cycle when they meet in

August," he said.

DOLLAR GAINS

With the pound under pressure, the dollar index,

which measures the U.S. currency against six others, rose 0.2%

to 105.39.

Gold, which tends to perform well in an environment

of lower rates, was up 0.6% at $2,339 an ounce, having touched

its highest since the start of June earlier on.

A surge in tech stocks on Tuesday lifted AI chipmaker Nvidia ( NVDA )

above Microsoft ( MSFT ) as the world's most valuable

company, leading to a global rally in tech shares.

With U.S. markets closed for a holiday on Wednesday, stock

futures were in the green on Thursday, with those on the

tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 outperforming, up 0.6% compared

with a 0.4% rise in S&P 500 futures.

"Nvidia ( NVDA ) remains the most important stock in the world,"

Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone, said in a note.

Weston, though, cautioned that index market breadth has been

poor, with participation underwhelming, suggesting the rally has

been built on a shaky foundation.

"The fact remains the market is now all in on the rally in

AI-related names and big tech and given the lack of clear

immediate risk the path of least resistance is for higher equity

index levels."

Investors are waiting for more data to give an idea of when

the Federal Reserve might start cutting rates, after the U.S.

central bank last week projected just one rate cut in the year

and policymakers this week have also been cautious.

The Japanese yen reached its weakest level against

the dollar since late April on Thursday, touching 158.41. Much

of the decline in the value of the currency has been the product

of the wide gap between Japanese and U.S. interest rates.

In commodities, oil prices rose, with Brent up 0.3%

at $85.32 a barrel, while U.S. crude for August delivery

was up 0.1% at $80.77.

(Additional reporting by Stefano Rebaudo in Milan, Ankur

Banerjee in Singapore and Summer Zhen in Hong Kong; Editing by

Miral Fahmy and Andrew Heavens)

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