*
Fed's Powell signals cautious approach to further rate
cuts
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Global stocks, currency markets tentative after Fed cut,
assess
future easing
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Bank of Canada cuts rates; New Zealand and Australia
stocks
falter
(Updates prices, adds China and Australia jobs data)
By Gregor Stuart Hunter
SINGAPORE, Sept 18 (Reuters) - Global stock markets were
choppy on Thursday after the Federal Reserve delivered its first
rate cut this year but signalled a measured approach to further
monetary policy easing, leaving investors in doubt about the
pace of future moves.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
slipped 0.1% as declines in Australian and New
Zealand markets weighed on the wider benchmark, while Chinese
stocks veered between gains and losses.
There were signs of strength in some markets, however, as
U.S. equity futures advanced 0.4% after a uneven session
on Wall Street overnight, while shares in South Korea
jumped 0.8% and those in Taiwan rallied 0.4%. Japan's
Nikkei 225 tacked on 1%.
Global stocks stumbled on Wednesday after hitting a record
high in the wake of the Fed's quarter-point rate cut and
indications it would steadily lower borrowing costs for the rest
of this year.
However, in post-meeting comments, Fed Chair Jerome Powell
tempered the more aggressive easing expectations in markets,
saying Wednesday's move was a risk-management cut and the
central bank did not need to move quickly on rates.
"All told, we'd describe the decision and tone of the press
conference as balanced and restrained, and not at all dovish,"
ANZ analysts said in a note.
"Powell's focus on stronger U.S. GDP forecasts and still
elevated inflation projections seemed to create doubt in
investors' minds."
Those doubts fed into U.S. trading overnight, with the S&P
500 and the Nasdaq Composite closing down. Only
new Governor Stephen Miran, who joined the Fed on Tuesday,
dissented in favour of a larger 50-basis point cut.
Currency markets were similarly indecisive.
The U.S. dollar dropped to the lowest since February
2022 at 96.224 against a basket of major peers immediately after
the rate decision, but sprang back 0.1% higher on Thursday to
97.089.
The euro was steady at $1.181 after a knee-jerk
reaction to the Fed announcement saw it rise to the highest
since June 2021 at $1.19185.
The Chinese yuan traded flat at 7.103 after China's
central bank left the borrowing cost of its seven-day reverse
repurchase agreements unchanged on Thursday, declining to follow
the Fed.
Sterling was down 0.1% at $1.3621, having briefly
raced to the highest since July 2 at $1.3726 on Wednesday.
The Bank of England will announce its own policy decision
later on Thursday, and is widely anticipated to keep rates at
4%.
Traders are pricing in a 87.7% chance of another 25-bp cut
at the Fed's next meeting in October, compared to a 74.3%
probability a day earlier, according to the CME Group's FedWatch
tool.
"The Fed is still signalling more rate cuts, but at the same
time still sees okay growth, which is a positive combination for
share markets," said Shane Oliver, chief economist and head of
investment strategy at AMP in Sydney. "I do think the gains will
be a bit limited though, as markets have already had a big rally
in anticipation of the Fed cutting and so are due a pause or
near-term correction," he added.
The Bank of Canada also reduced its key policy rate by 25
bps to a three-year low of 2.5% on Wednesday, the first cut in
six months, and said it would be ready to cut again if risks to
the economy increased in coming months.
GROWTH CONCERNS
In New Zealand, the S&P/NZX 50 dropped 0.9% after data
showed a worse-than-expected economic contraction in the second
quarter. The kiwi dollar sank 0.7% against the
greenback.
Australia's market fared little better, falling 0.6%
led by a decline of as much as 13.6% in gas producer Santos
shares after a consortium led by Abu Dhabi's ADNOC
scrapped its $18.7 billion bid for the company, saying
commercial terms could not be agreed.
The Australian dollar slipped 0.2%, edging away from an
almost one-year high reached on Wednesday, after the release of
weaker-than-expected labour market data for August, with
employment unexpectedly falling as full-time positions dropped
back after a sharp rise the previous month. The jobless rate
held steady at 4.2%.
The data may create some weakness in the Australian
dollar, which had recently strengthened on hawkish comments from
the Reserve Bank of Australia, said Kerry Craig, global market
strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management in Melbourne. But he
said the bank still expected a rate cut in November.
Bond markets rallied after a pullback on Wednesday, with the
yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes sliding to
4.0718% compared with its U.S. close of 4.076% on Wednesday. The
two-year yield, which rises with traders'
expectations of higher Fed funds rates, rose a touch to 3.5385%.
Gold prices edged up 0.1% to $3662.33 per ounce,
recovering from a dip after hitting a record high on Wednesday.
Oil prices declined, with Brent crude last down 0.5%
at $67.62 per barrel.