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Stocks fall ahead of Wednesday's Fed policy decision
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Germany's Merz is elected chancellor on second try
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Investors worry about lack of U.S. trade deals
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Gold rallies, oil rebounds after Monday sell-off
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UK/India reach trade agreement after 3 year negotiation
By Sinéad Carew and Samuel Indyk
NEW YORK/LONDON, May 6 (Reuters) - A global equities
index was lower on Tuesday, while the dollar declined as
investors waited impatiently for clarity on U.S. trade policies
and oil futures rebounded from Monday's sell-off.
The MSCI global index regained some lost ground after
German conservative leader Friedrich Merz was elected chancellor
by parliament there in a second round of voting after a shock
defeat in his first attempt earlier in the day.
Germany's DAX, after falling about 2% earlier,
regained some lost ground after the vote but still fell 0.5%.
Investor attention remained more broadly on trade tensions
between the U.S. and the rest of the world, and in particular
China, its biggest trade partner.
Beijing last week said that it was evaluating an offer from
Washington to hold talks over tariffs. U.S. President Donald
Trump said on Sunday that Washington is meeting many countries,
including China, and that his priority with China is to get a
fair deal.
But without any details of deals, investor patience waned.
"It's gone from pretty much balance between people who are
worried and people who think this will work quickly because it's
just a negotiation. It tips every few days a little bit more
negative," said Rick Meckler, partner, Cherry Lane Investments,
a family investment office in New Vernon, New Jersey.
"When deals are hinted at but not actually announced ... the
market slips back to a more negative pessimistic tone. It's not
just that they're hinted at and not announced. It's that they're
hinted at but, with no details."
Meanwhile, Britain and India clinched a long-coveted free
trade pact on Tuesday after tariff turmoil sparked by Trump
forced the two sides to hasten efforts to increase their trade
in whisky, cars and food.
On Wall Street, at 11:25 a.m. the Dow Jones Industrial
Average fell 143.66 points, or 0.35%, to 41,075.17, the
S&P 500 fell 17.40 points, or 0.31%, to 5,632.98 and the
Nasdaq Composite fell 83.59 points, or 0.47%, to
17,760.40.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe was
down 0.39 points, or 0.16%, to 844.82.
The Federal Reserve begins its two-day policy meeting on
Tuesday, where the central bank is widely expected to keep rates
steady but investors will be keen to hear the central bank's
comments on how it will navigate trade uncertainty.
"The Fed remains caught between a rock and a hard place,"
said Christian Scherrmann, DWS chief U.S. economist. "We think
they will opt for a slightly more hawkish tone, but more in the
direction of an extended pause than a potential hike."
In fixed income, U.S. Treasury yields were mixed in subdued
trade before the Federal Open Market Committee starts its
two-day policy meeting, with investors also keen to get a read
on demand at the benchmark 10-year note auction later in the
day.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose
1.2 basis points to 4.355%, from 4.343% late on Monday while the
30-year bond yield rose 3.5 basis points to 4.8643%.
The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in
step with interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve,
fell 4.6 basis points to 3.795%, from 3.841% late on Monday.
In currencies, Trump's erratic trade policies have been
fuelling significant waves of dollar selling since April as
investors shifted away from U.S. assets, pushing the euro, yen
and Swiss franc higher.
On Tuesday, the dollar index, which measures the
greenback against a basket of currencies, including the yen and
the euro, fell 0.38% to 99.43.
The euro was up 0.27% at $1.1346. And against the
Japanese yen, the dollar weakened 0.6% to 142.84.
The Canadian dollar strengthened 0.35% versus the
greenback to C$1.38 per dollar but against the Swiss franc
, the dollar strengthened 0.22% to 0.824 on the day.
Sterling was up 0.56% at $1.3366.
Britain's deal with India highlighted concerns that U.S.
trading partners will look elsewhere.
"That's a big concern for the dollar that trade will
start to reroute itself away from the U.S," said Meckler.
"It's negative for stocks and negative for the dollar and
somewhat negative for bonds if the U.S. Treasury bonds no longer
seen as the safe haven for the world."
In commodities, oil gained around 4%, rebounding on
technical factors and bargain hunting after a decision by OPEC+
to boost output had sent prices tumbling on Monday, although
concerns about a market surplus persisted.
U.S. crude rose 4.31% to $59.59 a barrel and Brent
rose to $62.62 per barrel, up 3.97% on the day.
Gold prices rose to a two-week high, supported by
post-holiday buying from China and concerns over potential U.S.
tariffs on pharmaceutical imports, while investors waited for
the Fed policy meeting.
Spot gold rose 1.89% to $3,396.70 an ounce. U.S. gold
futures rose 2.49% to $3,393.60 an ounce.