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Fed's Powell signals cautious approach to further rate
cuts
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Global stocks, currency markets tentative after Fed cut,
assess
future easing
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Bank of Canada cuts rates; NZ and Australia stocks falter
By Gregor Stuart Hunter
SINGAPORE, Sept 18 (Reuters) - Global stock markets
steadied on Thursday after the Federal Reserve cut interest
rates but investors were circumspect after the world's biggest
central bank signalled a measured approach to further monetary
policy easing.
U.S. equity futures advanced 0.3%, after a uneven
session on Wall Street overnight, while shares in Korea
and Taiwan led gains in Asia, both opening around 0.7%
higher. Japan's Nikkei 225 tacked on 0.3%.
The gains steadied MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific
shares outside Japan, which edged 0.1% lower, as
declines in Australian and New Zealand markets weighed on the
wider benchmark.
Global stocks stumbled on Wednesday after hitting a record
high in the wake of the Fed's quarter point rate cut and
indications it will steadily lower borrowing costs for the rest
of this year.
However, in post-meeting comments Fed Chair Jerome Powell
tempered the more aggressive easing expectations in markets,
saying Wednesday's move was a risk-management cut and that the
central bank does not need to move quickly on rates.
"All told, we'd describe the decision and tone of the press
conference as balanced and restrained, and not at all dovish,"
ANZ analysts said in a note.
"Powell's focus on stronger U.S. GDP forecasts and still
elevated inflation projections seemed to create doubt in
investors' minds."
Those doubts fed into the U.S. trading overnight, with the
S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite closing down.
Only new Governor Stephen Miran, who joined the Fed on Tuesday,
dissented in favor of a larger 50-bp cut.
Currency markets were similarly indecisive.
The U.S. dollar index dropped to the lowest since
February 2022 at 96.224 against a basket of major peers
immediately after the rate decision, but sprang back to be
higher on the day at 97.074.
The euro was steady at $1.1821 after a knee-jerk
reaction to the Fed announcement saw it rise to the highest
since June 2021 at $1.19185.
Sterling was flat at $1.3626 having briefly raced
to the highest since July 2 at $1.3726 on Wednesday.
The Bank of England announces its own policy decision later
on Thursday, and is widely anticipated to keep rates at 4%.
Traders are pricing in a 87.7% chance of another 25-bp cut
at the Fed's next meeting in October, compared to a 74.3%
probability a day earlier, according to the CME Group's FedWatch
tool.
"The Fed is still signalling more rate cuts, but at the same
time still sees okay growth, which is a positive combination for
share markets," said Shane Oliver, chief economist and head of
investment strategy at AMP in Sydney. "I do think the gains will
be a bit limited though, as markets have already had a big rally
in anticipation of the Fed cutting and so are due a pause or
near-term correction," he added.
The Bank of Canada also reduced its key policy rate by
25-bp to a three-year low of 2.5% on Wednesday, the first cut in
six months, and said it would be ready to cut again if risks to
the economy increased in coming months.
In New Zealand, the S&P/NZX 50 dropped 0.6% after data
showed a worse-than-expected economic contraction in the second
quarter. The kiwi dollar sank 0.6% against the
greenback.
Australia's market fared no better, falling 0.8% led
by a decline of as much as 13.6% in gas producer Santos
shares after a consortium led by Abu Dhabi's ADNOC scrapped its
$18.7 billion bid for the company, saying commercial terms could
not be agreed.
In the bond market, the yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury
notes ticked up to 4.0872% compared with its U.S.
close of 4.076% on Wednesday. The two-year yield,
which rises with traders' expectations of higher Fed funds
rates, rose a touch to 3.5552%.
Gold prices rose 0.3% to $3670.19 per ounce,
recovering from a dip after hitting a record high on Wednesday.
Oil prices were steady, with Brent crude last
trading at $67.95 per barrel.