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Swiss National Bank cuts rates; European Central Bank
decision
due
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Yen weakens on Reuters report BOJ may skip hike next week
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Yuan stabilises after PBOC keeps official midpoint steady
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Crude extends gains amid threat of more Russia sanctions
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, Dec 12 (Reuters) - Stocks nudged up on Thursday
and the euro rose ahead of a European Central Bank monetary
policy decision, while investor sentiment was supported by U.S.
consumer inflation data that cemented bets for a Federal Reserve
interest rate cut next week.
In a busy day for central bank decisions, the Swiss franc
weakened after the Swiss National Bank cut rates by half a
point, its largest reduction in nearly 10 years, which hit the
franc. Markets had priced a good chance of a half-point cut in
the run-up to Thursday's meeting.
The dollar eased against a range other currencies, as
investors took profit on some of the market's strength ahead of
Wednesday's inflation reading, which showed the consumer price
index (CPI) rose exactly in line with expectations in November.
Europe's STOXX 600 edged into positive territory,
while Swiss stocks rallied sharply following the SNB's
rate cut. U.S. stock index futures were down
0.1-0.2%
Overnight, the tech-focused Nasdaq shot up 1.8% to
close above 20,000 for the first time, while the S&P 500
climbed 0.8%.
"The U.S. CPI print lit a flame in U.S. equity," said Chris
Weston, head of research at Pepperstone.
"The market has essentially seen one of the last remaining
obstacles that could derail sentiment out of the way", he said,
"seeing the coast somewhat clearer for the illustrious seasonal
chase of returns to play out into year-end."
Traders now place a 97% chance on a quarter-point Fed cut on
Dec. 18.
Higher U.S. Treasury yields prevented the dollar from
straying too far below two-week highs, after data showed an
increase in the U.S. budget deficit.
Ten-year Treasury yields rose on Thursday by 2
bps to 4.291%, set for a rise of nearly 14 bps this week, their
largest weekly increase since late October.
CENTRAL BANK FOCUS
The dollar reversed early losses against the Japanese yen to
hold steady at 152.46 after Reuters reported that BOJ
policy makers were inclined to forgo a hike on Dec. 19 and wait
for more data on wages at the start of next year.
The Australian dollar surged on unexpectedly strong
employment data, rebounding from Wednesday's weakness following
a Reuters report that Beijing is considering allowing the yuan
to depreciate further next year. China is Australia's top
trading partner and the Aussie is often used as a liquid proxy
for the yuan.
The yuan held its ground above a one-week low after the
central bank kept the official midpoint for the currency stable,
to last trade at 7.268, leaving the dollar down 0.18% in
offshore trading.
The Swiss franc was last down 0.5% at 0.888 to the
dollar, following the SNB decision. Against the euro
, the franc was down nearly 0.7% at 0.9339.
"Cutting the policy rate by 50 basis points is the right
decision, as inflation risks are on the downside and the economy
is growing below potential, while Switzerland's main export are
struggling with structural and cyclical problems," Karsten
Junius, chief economist at J Safra Sarasin, said.
The euro ticked up 0.2% to $1.0509 after dipping
to a one-week trough overnight. The ECB is widely expected to
cut euro zone rates by 25 basis points later in the day.
Traders will focus on what central bank President Christine
Lagarde signals about the outlook for growth and inflation in
the months to come, given the political instability in France
and Germany right now, as well as the risk of tariffs from the
incoming U.S. administration led by Donald Trump.
Gold briefly traded at a more than one-month high,
driven by the prospect of more rate cuts from the Fed and lower
bond yields. It was last steady at $2,717.25 an ounce, having
earlier risen to $2,725.79 for the first time since Nov. 6.
Crude oil extended its rally this week, lifted by the threat
of additional sanctions aimed at stifling Russian oil output.
Brent crude futures rose 0.35% to $73.77 a barrel,
while U.S. crude futures were up 0.3% at $70.50.
(Additional reporting by Kevin Buckland in Tokyo; Editing by
Edwina Gibbs, Michael Perry and Angus MacSwan)