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Japan's yen strengthens to almost five-week high vs dollar
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US PCE data roughly in line with expectations
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Oil choppy after Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire, before OPEC+
meet
(Updates to late U.S. morning)
By Sinéad Carew and Medha Singh
Nov 27 (Reuters) - MSCI's global equities index edged
lower and the dollar slipped on Wednesday as investors digested
the latest economic data and the potential impact of policies
from the incoming U.S. administration, including threats of new
tariffs.
U.S. Treasury yields pared some declines in choppy trading
after data showed U.S. consumer spending increased solidly in
October, suggesting the economy kept a strong growth pace last
month but that progress dampening inflation has stalled.
Oil prices flitted between red and green after a ceasefire
deal between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon while also
anticipating Sunday's OPEC+ meeting, which may delay a planned
increase in oil output.
Equities lost some ground as investors read through the
data, which showed that in the 12 months through October core
inflation, which the U.S. central bank tracks for monetary
policy, increased 2.8% after climbing 2.7% in September.
"This was no earth-shattering news for the markets. We all
expected that inflation would pop up a little bit, but inflation
is not getting out of hand. And that's the key." said Peter
Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities.
"This paves the way for a 25 basis point cut in December and
then probably a pause."
Traders are betting on a 70% probability for a Federal
Reserve rate cut in December compared with a 59% probability on
Tuesday, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.
On Wall Street at 11:37 a.m. (1637 GMT), the Dow Jones
Industrial Average was up 7.90 points, or 0.02%, to
44,868.21, the S&P 500 was down 20.96 points, or 0.35%,
to 6,000.67, and the Nasdaq Composite was down 170.34
points, or 0.89%, to 19,005.23.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe was
down 0.48 points, or 0.06%, to 858.60, while Europe's STOXX 600
index was down 0.2%.
Cardillo expects a pause in rate cuts after December on
uncertainty about Trump's tariff threats.
Trump said late on Monday that he would immediately put a
25% tariff on all products from Mexico and Canada when he takes
office in January, and impose an additional 10% tariff on goods
from China. The threat drew warnings of retaliation.
The incoming president also chose trade lawyer Jamieson
Greer as his new U.S. trade representative, a veteran of his
first-term trade war against China.
Alex Atanasiu, portfolio manager at Glenmede Investment
Management, pointed to preparation for Trump's return to the
White House as a factor behind Wednesday's trading since small
cap and cyclical stocks were up "at the expense of megacap
tech."
And such moves were likely magnified due to lower liquidity
as investors turn their focus to the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday
on Thursday, according to Atanasiu. Thursday's market close will
be followed by a shorter trading day on Friday.
In Treasuries, the yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes
fell 6 basis points to 4.242%, from 4.302% late on
Tuesday while the 30-year bond yield fell 5.8 basis
points to 4.4223%.
The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in
step with interest rate expectations, fell 4.1 basis points to
4.213%, from 4.254% late on Tuesday.
In currencies, the dollar index, which measures the
greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and
the euro, was down 0.8% to 105.98.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar weakened 1.46%
to 150.86, putting the yen at its strongest level versus the
greenback in almost five weeks.
The euro was up 0.82% at $1.0572, while sterling
strengthened 0.88% to $1.2678.
The largest cryptocurrency, bitcoin, attempted to
find its feet after a four-day retreat from a record high of
$99,830. It was last up 5.13% at $96,356.00.
Oil prices had settled lower on Tuesday following
confirmation of the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire after selling off
more sharply on Monday in anticipation of an agreement.
On Wednesday, U.S. crude was down 0.07% at $68.72 a
barrel, while Brent was down to $72.73 per barrel, 0.11%
lower on the day.
Gold rose 0.38% to $2,641.87 an ounce. U.S. gold
futures rose 0.76% to $2,641.30 an ounce.