(Updates to U.S. market open)
* Brent dips below $100 after Thursday's spike
* Markets see one-in-three chance of Fed rate hike next week
* Yen languishing at 40-year lows as dollar gains
* European shares inch up after Thursday's pounding
By Lawrence Delevingne, Shashwat Chauhan and Stella Qiu
July 24 (Reuters) - Global bond yields hovered near
multi-decade highs on Friday as high oil prices stemming from
the Middle East conflict stoked concerns about inflation and
rate hikes, while U.S. and European shares found little relief
from this week's lows.
News that the U.S. administration will impose higher tariffs on
goods from 60 trading partners also did not help the inflation
picture, with 30-year Treasury yields marching
towards their highest since 2007 and German 10-year Bund yields
- the benchmark for the euro zone - holding close to
their highest since 2011.
Wall Street stocks were little changed, with the Dow Jones
Industrial Average and the S&P 500 each about 0.1%
higher. The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.1%, witha roughly 2%
decline for shares of chipmaker Intel ( INTC ) despite bumper
results.
Tech stocks have been under pressure this week as investors
grow increasingly uneasy about multi-billion-dollar spending on
AI that has yet to yield conclusive evidence of paying off.
The pan-European STOXX 600 rose 0.6% after a more than
1% drop in the last session, on pace for a mild weekly gain.
Brent crude slipped 2.83% to $97.84 a barrel, after
surging 7% overnight to a two-month high of $102. Attacks by
Iran-aligned Houthis on Saudi tankers in the Red Sea risk
choking off a second crucial Middle East artery for global oil
supplies, alongside Iran's near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
President Donald Trump threatened "major military punishment"
for Iran and its Houthi allies, while the U.S. military
conducted a 13th consecutive night of attacks.
"The dollar has been going up for a few days so clearly the
risk has been building and the fact that oil has been at these
higher levels for several days has really started to work
through the cross-asset correlation," said Shaniel Ramjee,
co-head of multi-asset investment at Pictet Asset Management in
London.
Most major currencies were steady against the dollar on
Friday, though the dollar index was on pace for its
biggest weekly jump in about a month, driven in large part by
growing expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise interest
rates.
Markets show traders believe central banks are more likely
to raise borrowing costs, with a one-in-three chance of a rate
hike from the Fed as soon as next week - a sea change from
merely a week ago - while a move in September is more than fully
priced in.
The European Central Bank left rates unchanged on Thursday, but
a September rate hike is about 70% priced in. Data on Friday
offered a more optimistic economic outlook, after surveys of
business activity showed Germany's private sector returned to
growth in July for the first time in four months and contraction
in France's private sector eased this month.
Global tech stocks took a hit earlier this week after Alphabet
and Tesla, the first two of the "Magnificent
Seven" megacap tech companies to report this season, spooked
investors as both burned through cash in their most recent
quarter on their big spending on AI infrastructure.
"Valuations in U.S. equities are basically off the roof
despite very little cash flow generated by tech and the highest
beta part of the market. In general, this is a market where
there are (some) bubbly signs," said Gabriele Foà, global credit
portfolio manager at Algebris Investments in Milan.
DOLLAR SET FOR STRONG WEEKLY GAINS ON RATE OUTLOOK
In bond markets, the benchmark 10-year U.S. yield
hit a more than 18-month high of 4.7135%, and last traded at
4.685%. The yield on 30-year bonds was steady at 5.1616%, not
far from a 19-year peak of 5.201%.
"As for the Fed, uncertainty around the outlook for both the
policy rate and the balance sheet could weigh on the UST market
over the next few months," John Davies, U.S. rates strategist at
Standard Chartered Bank wrote in a note on Friday.
"Our base case remains an on-hold Fed, but we see a risk that
the long-end might start to question whether Chair Warsh is only
ready to 'talk the talk' rather than 'walk the walk' on
delivering price stability."
The yen was pinned near 40-year lows at 163.77 per
dollar, drawing warnings from the U.S. Treasury about excess
volatility in the currency and from Japan's finance minister.
Precious metals edged higher in choppy trading, with gold
up 0.1% at $4,051 an ounce after falling 2% the day before,
while silver advanced 0.5% after a decline of 3.4% on
Thursday.
(Reporting by Lawrence Delevingne in Boston, Stella Qiu in
Sydney and Shashwat Chauhan in Bengaluru; Editing by Sonali
Paul, Lincoln Feast, Amanda Cooper, Mrigank Dhaniwala, Anil
D'Silva and Deepa Babington)