(Updated at 4:02 p.m. ET/2002 GMT)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, March 15 (Reuters) - A gauge of global stocks
fell on Friday and was set for a weekly decline that would snap
seven straight weekly gains, while the dollar rose and was on
track for its strongest week since mid-January, as U.S.
inflation data has led to new hopes for interest rate cuts.
Data on Friday showed U.S. import prices increased
marginally in February as a surge in the cost of petroleum
products was partially offset by modest gains elsewhere,
suggesting an improving inflation picture.
Equities struggled this week after readings on U.S. consumer
prices and producer prices indicated inflation remains sticky,
dampening expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut rates
by its June meeting.
Markets are pricing in a 59.2% chance for a rate cut of at
least 25 basis points (bps) by the Fed in June, down from 59.5%
in the prior session and 73.3% a week ago, according to CME's
FedWatch Tool.
The central bank is widely expected to hold rates steady at
its policy meeting next week but investors will be watching the
central bank's economic projections, including its interest rate
forecast.
"We seem in a period here where everyone knows rates
eventually will be lowered. The expectation of when it happens
keeps getting slightly pushed back, but investors still believe
it will happen," said Rick Meckler, partner at Cherry Lane
Investments in New Vernon, New Jersey.
"It's been a back-and-forth market as people reposition
and consider whether some of the real winners have just gone a
little bit too far, so you're seeing them trade off."
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell
190.89 points, or 0.49%, to 38,714.77, the S&P 500 lost
33.53 points, or 0.65%, to 5,116.95 and the Nasdaq Composite
lost 155.35 points, or 0.96%, to 15,973.17.
For the week, the S&P 500 lost 0.13%, the Dow shed 0.02% and
the Nasdaq declined 0.73%.
In addition, a survey from the University of Michigan showed
its preliminary reading on consumer sentiment and inflation
expectations were little changed in March while a separate
report said production at U.S. factories increased more than
expected in February.
The dollar index gained 0.05% at 103.43, recouping
some of the prior week's decline with a gain of 0.71%, with the
euro up 0.06% at $1.0889 on the session. Sterling
weakened 0.13% at $1.273.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened
0.49% to 149.05, despite expectations the Bank of Japan is
expected to end its negative interest rate policy at its meeting
next week.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe
fell 5.07 points, or 0.66%, to 767.58, poised for its third
straight daily decline, the longest streak since the start of
the year, and down 0.48% on the week.
The STOXX 600 index closed down 0.32%, while
Europe's broad FTSEurofirst 300 index fell 7.42 points,
or 0.37%.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes was up
1 basis point at 4.308% after reaching 4.322%, its highest since
Feb. 23. The 10-year yield has jumped 22 bps this week, the most
since mid-October.
The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in
step with interest rate expectations, rose 3.9 basis points to
4.7297% and has risen 24.6 bps for the week, its largest jump in
two months.
Oil prices dipped, a day after topping $85 a barrel for the
first time since November. The oil benchmarks were on track to
close out the week with a gain of more than 3%. U.S. crude
settled down 0.27% lower on the day at $81.04 a barrel
and Brent settled off 0.09% to $85.34 per barrel.