(Adds closing U.S. prices)
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Fed still is focus as market pauses ahead of CPI data
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European stocks hit record high, Wall Street ends mixed
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Dollar gains on U.S. exceptionalism trade
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Oil edges up after U.S. stockpiles fell last week
By Herbert Lash and Harry Robertson
NEW YORK/LONDON, May 8 (Reuters) - Global equity markets
mostly faltered on Wednesday as investors await fresh inflation
data to better assess the likelihood of Federal Reserve interest
rate cuts, while the dollar edged higher on expectations of U.S.
economic out-performance.
European stocks rose to a record high, boosted by company
earnings, but stocks on Wall Street slid as a downbeat forecast
from Uber ( UBER ) knocked its shares down 5.7% and made the
ride-hailing firm one of the biggest decliners on the S&P 500.
The yen weakened for a third day and kept investors wary of
intervention from Japanese authorities, while crude oil edged up
from near two-month lows. In Europe, the Swedish crown was under
pressure after the central bank cut rates as expected and said
two more cuts were likely this year if inflation remained mild.
The big concern among traders and investors is whether
inflation is on course to reach the U.S. central bank's 2%
target and when Fed Chair Jerome Powell might cut rates.
Fed Boston President Susan Collins said the U.S. economy
needs to cool off as an avenue toward getting inflation back to
the central bank's 2% target.
"The market is still very much waiting for the CPI report
next Wednesday. We're basically stuck in a bit of a range here
until we get data," said Gennadiy Goldberg, head of U.S. rates
strategy at TD Securities in New York.
"Investors are still very cautious at this point. They don't
want to over extrapolate from one data point or a couple of
developments," he said.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe
fell 0.18%, while Europe's pan-regional STOXX 600 index
rose 0.34% to a record close. On Wall Street, the Dow Jones
Industrial Average rose 0.44%, the S&P 500 closed
unchanged and the Nasdaq Composite slid 0.18%.
Global stocks fell sharply in April as strong U.S. economic
data caused investors to rein in their bets on rate cuts from
the Fed and, by extension, other major central banks this year.
Stocks, however, have rallied in May, partly encouraged by
last week's nonfarm payrolls, which showed a cooling in the hot
U.S. labor market but remained stronger than pre-pandemic data.
"Investors continue to underestimate or miscalculate
interest rate cuts," said Michael Arone, chief investment
strategist at the U.S. SPDR business at State Street Global
Advisors in Boston.
However, if the economy expands with inflation anchored and
the labor market reasonably strong, "that makes for a pretty
good backdrop for stocks," he said. "So unless some of those
ingredients change, the markets will continue to do OK."
In currency markets, the yen dropped 0.61% to 155.64 per
dollar even after Bank of Japan governor Kazuo Ueda
said the central bank may take monetary policy action if
currency falls affect prices significantly.
Japan has intervened to boost the currency from its lowest
level in 34 years in recent days, according to traders and
analysts, keeping the market alert for further swings.
The dollar index, which tracks the currency against
six peers, rose 0.13% to 105.55 and was less than 1% below a
5-1/2 month high touched in April. The euro was down
0.09% at $1.0742.
U.S. Treasury yields have fallen in recent days
as traders have moved to price back in two rate cuts from the
Fed this year, having seen one as most likely in the middle of
April. The 10-year yield, which moves inversely to its price,
rose 3.7 basis points to 4.498%.
Oil prices edged higher after U.S. oil storage data showed a
draw in crude stockpiles as refiners ramped up output ahead of
the summer driving season.
U.S. crude rose 61 cents to settle at $78.99 a barrel
and Brent settled up 42 cents at $83.58 per barrel.
Gold steadied as while investors awaited data for clues on
potential Fed rate cuts, though a slight uptick in the dollar
limited any upside.
U.S. gold futures for June delivery settled 0.1%
lower at $2,322.30 per ounce.
Bitcoin fell 1.31% to $62,142.09.