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MSCI gauge of world stocks near record high
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Nvidia ( NVDA ) earnings, due at U.S. close, weigh on indices
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Dollar depressed to 1-year lows by rate cut expectations
(Updates prices at 1200 GMT)
By Lawrence White and Tom Westbrook
LONDON, Aug 28 (Reuters) - Global stocks held near
all-time highs on Wednesday ahead of the release of results from
chipmaking market darling Nvidia ( NVDA ), while sterling hovered near a
2-1/2-year high as traders bet that Britain would lag the U.S.
in cutting interest rates.
MSCI's gauge of all stocks across the globe
gained 0.03% to 831.07, near the record close of 831.34 reached
on Aug. 23, as market turmoil earlier in the month faded amid
signs policymakers have begun to tame the worst surge in
inflation in 40 years.
Europe's benchmark STOXX index climbed 0.4% to a
one-month high, boosted by technology stocks ahead of rosy
expectations for the Nvidia ( NVDA ) earnings update later in the day.
Nvidia's ( NVDA ) market value has ballooned thanks to its
dominance of the computing hardware behind artificial
intelligence. The stock price is up some 3000% since 2019 and
with a market capitalisation of $3.2 trillion, a move in its
share price affects the broader market.
Second-quarter revenue will likely have doubled, though even
that may disappoint expectations. Options pricing shows traders
anticipate a near 10% - or $300 billion - swing in market value,
likely the largest earnings move of any company, ever.
The results at the "so-called 'most important company in the
world,'" stand between Wall Street and fresh record highs, noted
Capital.com analyst Kyle Rodda, and set the tone for the sector.
"The company's revenue and sales guidance is a barometer of
AI capex, with inferences to be drawn about the health of the
other mega-cap tech names," he said.
S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures
edged lower, as investors held back ahead of the crucial
earnings report.
Any disappointment in Nvidia's ( NVDA ) results could hurt
megacaps and other semiconductor stocks, which have led 2024's
rally on the prospect of AI integration boosting corporate
profits.
Shares in Australian gambling company Tabcorp
meanwhile were headed for their largest fall since 2008,
dropping 17% to a four-year low after the company warned
compliance and other costs meant it would miss earnings targets.
DOLLAR IN THE DUMPS
Debt and currency markets were steady in the Asia session,
though the Australian dollar briefly touched its
highest since January at $0.6813 after monthly inflation data
was slightly above market forecasts.
Globally, a weakening U.S. dollar in anticipation of Federal
Reserve rate cuts has lifted most other currencies because
markets see U.S. short-term rates, currently above 5.25%, as
having the furthest to fall.
The greenback held near its lowest in more than a year
against a basket of peers, and was last 0.4% higher at 100.98,
hovering above a 13-month low of 100.51 hit in the previous
session.
Interest rate futures price 100 basis points of U.S. rate
cuts this year and last week Fed Chair Jerome Powell endorsed
the start of cuts saying "the time has come".
The tone contrasts with caution at the Bank of England,
which has helped sterling become the top-performing G10
currency with a 4.1% gain for the year-to-date.
It hit its highest in more than two years on Tuesday at
$1.3269, but eased on Wednesday to $1.3212 in European trade.
"In our view, the BoE is likely to only cut rates once a
quarter going forward," Rabobank senior strategist Jane Foley
said in a note, against a forecast for four consecutive 25 bp
cuts from the Fed from September to January.
Rates markets were steady with 10-year U.S. Treasury yields
at 3.81%, two-year yields at 3.86% and
the gap between the two at its narrowest in nearly three weeks.
Heavy selling drove bitcoin down 3% on the dollar to
$59,972. Gold prices, under pressure from the dollar's
slight recovery, slipped 0.9% to $2501 an ounce.
Oil prices fell nearly 2% on concerns about Chinese demand
and risks of a broader slowdown. Brent crude futures
traded at $78.27 barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate
crude futures fell 1.76% to $74.2.