(Updates to U.S. market open)
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U.S., global stocks tick up
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Eyes on Fed minutes, Powell speech to support rate cuts
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Oil prices dip
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Gold loses hold on highs above $2,500
By Lawrence Delevingne and Nell Mackenzie
Aug 19 (Reuters) - Wall Street extended gains as the
dollar tipped lower on Monday off the back of last week's
surging stock markets as expectations the U.S. economy would
dodge a recession and cooling inflation would kick off a cycle
of interest rate cuts.
In early trading Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial
Average rose 0.29%, to 40,779.28, the S&P 500
gained 0.19%, to 5,564.56 and the Nasdaq Composite
gained 0.10%, to 17,649.30.
MSCI's broadest index of world stocks had edged up around
0.2%.
The prospect of lower borrowing costs could not sustain
gold's historic highs and the dollar dipped against the euro,
while the yen lunged higher.
In the U.S., Federal Reserve members Mary Daly and Austan
Goolsbee were out over the weekend to flag the possibility of
easing in September, while minutes of the last policy meeting
due this week should underline the dovish outlook.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell speaks in Jackson Hole on Friday and
investors assume he will acknowledge the case for a cut.
"Everything points to this Friday. We'll be looking for any
indication that rate cuts might be on the way. The next question
is, how big will those rate cuts be?" said Paul O'Neill, chief
investment officer of wealth management firm Bentley Reid.
Futures are fully priced for a quarter-point move,
and imply a 25% chance of 50 basis points with much depending on
what the next payrolls report shows.
Analysts at Goldman Sachs downshifted their U.S. recession
expectations to a 20% chance and could push them lower if the
August jobs report due in September "looks reasonably good",
analysts said a note on Friday.
Ahead of the busy week, broad European shares moved
0.4% higher, while the blue-chip FTSE 100 index traded
up 0.3%.
Investors are anticipating flash Purchasing Managers' Index
(PMI) data for France, Germany, Britain and the Eurozone later
this week.
Earlier, the Nikkei index .N225 closed 1.77% lower at
37,388.62, snapping a five-day winning run that pushed it up
8.7% last week. Chinese blue chips closed about 0.3%
higher.
CUTS FOR ALL
The Fed is hardly alone in contemplating looser policy, with
Sweden's central bank expected to cut rates this week, and
possibly by an outsized 50 basis points.
In currency markets, the dollar lapsed 0.77% to 146.47 yen
while the euro firmed to $1.103, just below
last week's peak of $1.1034.
Even as markets have calmed again, it is worth remembering
that the economic fundamentals behind the global markets selloff
two weeks ago have not completely vanished, said Deutsche Bank
macro strategist Henry Allen.
"Economic data has been increasingly soft at a global level,
falling inflation means that monetary policy is increasingly
tight in real terms, geopolitical concerns are elevated, and
we're heading into a tough period on a seasonal basis," said
Allen in a note on Monday.
A softer dollar combined with lower bond yields could not
hold gold at its zenith and it fell to around $2,486 an ounce
, down from its all-time peak of $2,509.
Oil prices dipped as concerns about Chinese demand continued
to weigh on sentiment.
U.S. crude lost 0.33% to $76.4 a barrel and Brent
fell to $79.42 per barrel, also down about 0.33% on the
day.