(Updates to U.S. market open, Fed Chair comments)
By Lawrence Delevingne and Alun John
Aug 23 (Reuters) - World shares gained on Friday, just
shy of all-time highs, while the dollar languished around
one-year lows after a speech by the world's most powerful
central banker confirmed the U.S. would soon begin interest rate
cuts.
U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, in a speech on
Friday at the annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole,
Wyoming, said "the time has come" to cut interest rates as
rising risks to the job market left no room for further weakness
and inflation was in reach of the Fed's 2% target, offering an
explicit endorsement of an imminent policy easing.
"What he's suggesting here is if the labor market continues
to weaken, we're looking at a 50-basis-point rate cut in
September as opposed to 25," said Peter Cardillo, chief market
economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York.
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose 0.69% to 40,993, the S&P 500 gained 0.87% to 5,618
and the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.20% to 17,830.
Europe's broad Stoxx 600 index rose 0.1% after
Asian shares outside Japan had nudged down 0.1%, but Japan's
Nikkei gained 0.4% as investors digested inflation data
and remarks from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda flagging a
willingness to raise interest rates if the economy and inflation
turn out as forecast.
That left MSCI's all country world index up
0.8%, and with early August's turmoil in the rear view mirror,
it is now trading near its mid-July all-time peak.
Markets are fully priced for a 25 bp U.S. rate cut in
September and see a cut at each of the Fed's three remaining
meetings this year, and for one to be a larger 50 bp move.
On the final night of the four-day Democratic National
Convention, Vice President Kamala Harris promised to be a
"realistic," "practical" president for all Americans if elected.
For the bond market, expectations that rate cuts are coming
have kept U.S. Treasury prices supported and not giving back
their safe-haven gains from early August.
Following the Powell speech, the yield on benchmark U.S.
10-year notes was down 5.7 basis points at 3.805%,
from 3.862% late on Thursday. The 2-year note yield,
which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations,
fell 6.7 basis points to 3.9427%, from 4.01% late on Thursday.
Its German equivalent was steady at 2.224%.
The low U.S. yields have hurt the dollar, which has lost
ground on almost all major peers in August.
The euro was last at $1.1115, steady on the day
and just off a 13-month peak hit earlier this week, and sterling
was up 0.24% at $1.3125, battling to push through its
July 2023 level, which would take it to its highest in well over
two years.
The Japanese yen strengthened, with the dollar down 0.8% at
145.16 after Bank of Japan Governor Ueda's comments on
rates.
"The yen buying today is understandable given Governor Ueda
showed very little sign of a shift in the views and plans of the
BoJ following the financial market turmoil earlier this month,"
said Derek Halpenny, head of research global markets EMEA at
MUFG, in a note to clients.
Data out early in the day showed Japan's core inflation
accelerated for a third straight month, but a slowdown in
demand-drive price gains suggest no urgency for any immediate
rate hikes.
Oil gained but was still set to end the week lower as
swelling U.S. crude stocks and a weakening demand outlook in
China have led to pessimism. U.S. crude gained 2.1% to
$74.54 a barrel and Brent rose to $78.63 per barrel, up
1.83% on the day.
Gold prices added 1.16% to $2,512.06 an ounce,
recharging towards the record high of $2,531.6 hit just on
Tuesday.