(Updates at 0915 GMT)
By Stella Qiu and Alun John
LONDON/SYDNEY, May 28 (Reuters) - World shares held near
all-time highs on Tuesday and U.S. Treasury yields ticked lower
as investors awaited inflation data from both sides of the
Atlantic due later in the week.
Traders were keeping an eye on the shift to a shorter
settlement in U.S. trading but there were few major moves in
advance to the U.S. market open.
Investors in U.S. equities, and other securities, must
settle their transactions one business day after the trade
instead of two from Tuesday.
Most asset classes, outside commodities, have been trading
in fairly narrow ranges in recent weeks, with major share
benchmarks near record-highs, European bond yields inching
higher and the dollar gradually trending weaker against major
peers.
U.S. PCE inflation and CPI inflation data from major euro
zone economies this week are the main things that could jolt
markets out of their current thinking by affecting expectations
of when major central banks will start cutting rates. Inflation
data in the euro zone is released from Wednesday, followed by
the PCE on Friday.
"If you want big moves you've got to put back the thought
that the next U.S. move is a hike into the market's mind," said
Kit Juckes, chief FX strategist at Societe Generale.
While he was referring to the dollar, there is a lot of
correlation between assets at the moment.
"We were there at the end of the first quarter when we were
bombarded by stronger-than-expected -U.S. numbers, but that's
all sort of melted away and we're in kind of no man's land,"
Juckes said.
Markets are currently fully pricing one 25 basis-point Fed
rate cut this year, most likely in September or November. They
see a one-third chance of a second 25 bps cut by year-end.
In the euro zone, it is all but certain the European Central
Bank will cut rates at its meeting next month, though markets
are only betting on one further cut by December.
Of interest for policymakers, euro zone consumers lowered
their inflation expectations last month, a fresh ECB survey
showed on Tuesday.
MSCI's world share index was flat on the
day, as was Europe's broad STOXX 600, both near to
record-highs hit this month. Asian shares had traded broadly
steady earlier in the day, and U.S. S&P 500
futures are up 0.3%.
Emerging markets were also in focus, with Zambia likely to
emerge from a lengthy default after the country's finance
ministry said more than 90% of holders of its $3 billion in
outstanding international bonds had accepted its restructuring
proposal so far.
WATCHING JAPAN
Elsewhere, data on Tuesday showed the Bank of Japan's key
measurements of underlying inflation all fell in April below its
2% target for the first time since August 2022, heightening
uncertainty on the timing of the central bank's next interest
rate hike.
But investors appeared more focused on comments made on
Monday by BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida, who said that the
end of Japan's battle against persistent deflation was in sight.
Ten-year Japanese government bond yields rose to 1.035% on
Tuesday - its highest since April 2012.
That kept the yen in check at 156.95 per dollar, flat on the
day, though the Japanese currency softened to its weakest in
many years against the pound and Australian dollar.
By European trading most FX pairs were little moved, with
the euro flat at $1.0868.
The cash Treasury market returned from a holiday with prices
recovering marginally after taking a hit last week.
Two-year yields fell 2 basis points to 4.927%,
having surged 13 bps the previous week, while the 10-year yield
dipped a similar amount to 4.453%, after rising 5
bps the week before.
Oil prices extended gains from the previous session. Brent
futures inched up to $83.16 a barrel. U.S. crude futures
for July were at $78.92 a barrel, up 1.4% from Friday's
close, after Monday's U.S. holiday.
Spot gold was down 0.2% at $2343.3 an ounce.