* Iran war reaches three-month mark on May 28
* Oil, dollar, stocks all in winning camp
* Energy importers are big losers
* Bond yields higher on inflation angst
LONDON, May 27 (Reuters) - Three months since the Iran
war began, persistently high oil prices have policymakers
grappling with renewed inflation fears, while sliding currencies
are a headache for some Asian countries.
But the conflict has boosted other assets, especially oil,
and the dollar's credentials as a safe-haven.
Here's a look at some stand-out winners and losers.
OIL'S WIDER IMPACT
Oil's roughly 40% jump has upended the outlook for
inflation and interest rates. On the physical market, crude
prices are well above $100 a barrel and, at one point in early
April, were nearly double what they were pre-war.
A record 400-million-barrel release from the strategic reserves
of major economies, together with traders finding alternative
sources, has helped cushion the loss of supply. But the strain
on the global energy system is growing.
AI BOOM CUSHIONS STOCKS
Global stocks have so far weathered the storm, as renewed AI
optimism and broader hopes for a peace deal overshadow the
negative impacts of the war.
U.S. stocks are at record highs, as is South Korea's Kospi.
European shares are nudging at all-time highs.
SK Hynix topped $1 trillion in market value for the
first time on Wednesday, joining its memory chip rivals Samsung
Electronics ( SSNLF ) and Micron Technology ( MU ) in reaching
the milestone on an AI-driven rally.
Not all sectors are winning.
The S&P 500 passenger airlines index is down more than 6% since
the conflict began amid global flight disruption. A global
luxury basket is down 10%, reflecting investor fears
that inflation could hit spending.
HSBC Private Bank global CIO Willem Sels said the firm has
an underweight position on consumer-related goods and services.
"It provides us with a hedge in case the conflict
accelerates," he said. "Consumption has done reasonably okay,
certainly in the U.S. where you have better-off households who
still consume a lot and are benefiting from AI."
DOLLAR KEEPS ITS CROWN
The dollar has also been a winner, with investors embracing its
safe-haven properties. It has gained 1.5% against other major
currencies since the war began, outperforming the Swiss
franc and yen.
Rising U.S. Treasury yields have also boosted the dollar's
appeal, while some note it continues to contend with U.S. policy
uncertainty and will likely weaken when the conflict ends.
"We are currently neutral but still expect a weaker dollar
in the medium term," said Van Luu, global head of solutions
strategy at Russell Investments.
ASIAN CURRENCIES FEEL THE PAIN
Asia had bought about 80% of oil shipped through the
now-shuttered Strait of Hormuz and what fuel there is still
available is costlier than before. That is hurting growth and
making their currencies among the biggest underperformers since
the war.
India's rupee, Indonesia's rupiah and the Philippine peso have
hit record lows against the dollar and some countries have hiked
rates or tapped FX reserves to ease the pain.
Sri Lanka stunned markets on Tuesday with a 100 basis point
hike.
In Asia, only China's yuan has held up, helped by
substantial domestic energy reserves.
ANOTHER BLOW TO GLOBAL ECONOMY
The oil price surge has also knocked the world economy,
particularly countries that rely on imported energy.
In the euro zone, economic activity shrank at its sharpest rate
in more than two-and-a-half years in May, S&P's composite
purchasing managers index shows.
The war's impact is amplifying Europe's financial
vulnerabilities, the European Central Bank warned in a report on
Wednesday.
British companies also reported a drop in activity
alongside a jump in input prices due to higher energy costs.
The U.S., which is self-sufficient in oil and gas and where
AI investment is surging, has taken less of an economic hit.
However, the global nature of oil markets means U.S. gasoline
prices have hit a four-year high of $4.56 a gallon.
BONDS TAKE A BEATING
Government bonds are also in the losing camp, as the oil
price surge has prompted traders to factor in the risk of higher
rates in response to energy-driven inflation.
Expectations of higher fiscal and military spending have
added to pressure on longer-dated maturities.
The Federal Reserve might end its easing bias soon and U.S.
30-year Treasury yields have risen to their highest since 2007,
trading above 5%.
German Bund yields, meanwhile, have hit their
highest in over 15 years as traders price in at least two ECB
rate hikes by year-end.