(Updates yields, adds milestones and analyst comment)
By Satoshi Sugiyama
TOKYO, March 27 (Reuters) - Japanese government bond
yields rose across the curve on Friday, as recent hawkish
central bank signals and the Middle East war heightened
inflation concerns and prompted investors to reprice the path of
rate hikes.
The two-year yield, the tenor most sensitive
to Bank of Japan policy rates, rose 4.5 basis points to 1.38%,
the highest since May 1995. Its five-day increase was the
largest since the week ended October 10, 2008.
The five-year yield rose 8.0 bps to a record
1.820%, while the benchmark 10-year JGB yield
increased 11 bps to 2.380%, a two-month high. Yields move
inversely to bond prices.
The BOJ said on Thursday its index of core consumer prices
rose 2.2% in February, releasing the gauge for the first time in
what analysts say is an effort to show underlying inflation is
setting the stage for further rate hikes.
"The central bank probably wanted to send a message to the
market that it is ready to raise rates when needed regardless of
the market condition," said Miki Den, a senior Japan rate
strategist at SMBC Nikko Securities.
The BOJ's revised output gap data, also released on
Thursday, showed demand exceeded supply capacity for a 15th
straight quarter, pointing to a greater likelihood of rising
prices.
With no end in sight for the war in Iran and its impact on
imported energy prices, the BOJ data suggests inflationary
pressures may persist, prompting investors to be more cautious
on bonds, said Ryutaro Kimura, senior fixed-income strategist at
AXA Investment Managers.
The 20-year JGB yield climbed 15.5 bps to
3.275%, the highest since January. The 30-year yield
added 19 bps to 3.710%. The yield on the 40-year
JGB, Japan's longest tenor, rose 21 bps to
3.915%.
Super-long JGB yields are facing particularly upward
pressure because demand is decreasing among life insurers and
other traditional buyers, and there are concerns that the
government may discourage rate hikes by the BOJ, Kimura said.
"The market may revise up expectations for the terminal rate
and for inflation further out, which could explain why the yield
curve reaction in Japan is bear steepening, unlike in the U.S.
and Europe," he said.
(Reporting by Satoshi Sugiyama and Junko Fujita; Editing by
Sumana Nandy and Subhranshu Sahu)