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Jan core CPI rises 3.2% yr/yr vs forecast +3.1%
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Index excluding fuel costs up 2.5% yr/yr
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Data underscores rising price pressures as costs increase
By Leika Kihara
TOKYO, Feb 21 (Reuters) - Japan's core consumer price
index rose 3.2% in January from the previous year to hit a
19-month high, data showed on Friday, reinforcing expectations
the central bank will continue to raise interest rates from
still-low levels.
The increase in the core consumer price index (CPI), which
excludes fresh food prices, compared with a median market
forecast for a 3.1% gain and followed a 3.0% rise in December.
Inflation has exceeded the central bank's 2% target for
nearly three years, underscoring rising inflationary pressure
that has drawn hawkish remarks from Bank of Japan (BOJ)
policymakers such as those by board member Hajime Takata on
Wednesday.
A separate index stripping away both fresh food and fuel
costs, which is closely watched by the BOJ as a better gauge of
demand-driven inflation, rose 2.5% in January from a year
earlier, the data showed. It was the fastest year-on-year pace
since March 2024, when the index rose 2.9%.
The data follow recent steady rises in Japanese government
bond (JGB) yields, as markets factor in the chance the BOJ could
hike rates more aggressively than initially thought on prospects
of sustained wage gains that could spur consumer spending.
The BOJ raised its short-term interest rate to 0.5% from
0.25% in January, reflecting its conviction that Japan was
making progress in sustainably achieving its 2% inflation
target.
Governor Kazuo Ueda has signalled his readiness to keep
raising rates if wages continue to increase and underpin
consumption, thereby allowing firms to keep hiking pay.
Japan's economy expanded an annualised 2.8% in the final
quarter of last year on robust business expenditure and
consumption, shoring up the BOJ's case for more rate hikes.
Annual wholesale inflation jumped to a seven-month high of
4.2% in January and accelerated for the fifth straight month,
highlighting persistent price pressures.
A private sector survey showed most economists projecting
the next hike to come in the latter half of this year.