June 28 (Reuters) - Copper prices in London firmed on
Friday, but were on track for their biggest monthly decline
since May 2023 amid patchy economic growth in top consumer China
and higher inventories.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was
up 0.5% at $9,558.50 per metric ton, as of 0216 GMT. The
contract was down 4.8% in June, and set for a sixth straight
weekly loss, if current trend holds.
After advancing to a record high of $11,104.50 on May 20,
copper prices have fallen 14%, partly on sluggish economic data
from China and uncertainty over U.S. interest rates..
"Markets have shifted their view to the reality of the
fundamentals, and the reality is that demand is weak, especially
in China. Meanwhile, if we look to ex-China, the health of
manufacturing remains clouded, U.S. is performing better, but
Europe remains in manufacturing recession," said StoneX analyst
Natalie Scott-Gray.
"I think we will see copper average around $9,500 per ton
for the year, but prices will likely go above $10,500 by
year-end, when I suspect we have the first U.S. rate cut."
Copper inventories in warehouses monitored by
the Shanghai Futures Exchange were at 322,910 tons last week,
compared with about 30,000 tons in January, reflecting the
abundant supply in China.
The most-traded August copper contract on the Shanghai
Futures Exchange rose 0.2% at 78,060 yuan ($10,741.56),
but was set to post its worst month since July 2022.
In the broader market, the dollar was headed for a monthly
gain, making greenback-priced metals more expensive to holders
of other currencies.
LME aluminium gained 0.5% to $2,504.50 a ton, nickel
edged up 0.7% to $17,220.00, zinc rose 0.6% at
$2,947.50, lead added 0.5% to $2,189.50, and tin
rose 0.6% at $32,440.
SHFE aluminium steadied at 20,250 yuan a ton,
nickel was flat at 134,920 yuan, lead was up
0.6% at 19,370 yuan, while zinc rose 0.6% to 24,370
yuan and tin was up 1.1% at 269,560 yuan.
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DATA/EVENTS (GMT)
0600 UK GDP QQ, YY Q1
0645 France CPI (EU Norm) Prelim YY, MM June
0645 France CPI Prelim MM NSA June
0645 France Producer Prices YY May
0755 Germany Unemployment Chg, Rate SA June
1230 US Consumption, Adjusted MM May
1230 US Core PCE Price Index MM, YY May
($1 = 7.2671 Chinese yuan)