(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters.)
By Anna Szymanski
April 7 (Reuters) -
What matters in U.S. and global markets today
By Anna Szymanski, Editor-in-Charge, Reuters Open Interest
Markets are once again held in suspense as traders count down to
President Donald Trump's latest deadline for Iran to reopen the
Strait of Hormuz, with global stocks mixed and oil prices
choppy.
Tehran, for its part, has refused to reopen the vital waterway
and accept a ceasefire deal, despite the U.S. president's
threats that Iran could be "taken out in one night", leaving
investors braced for the possibility that Trump's latest
combative warning could harden into action - or, on the other
hand, lead to yet another deadline.
I'll get into that and more below.
But first, listen to the latest episode of the Morning Bid daily
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FINAL COUNTDOWN?
As much of the financial world returned from the long holiday
weekend on Tuesday, investors appeared to be in a wait-and-see
mode with Trump's latest deadline for Iran - 8 p.m. EDT tonight
- drawing closer.
Oil prices moved around early on Tuesday, with Brent crude
initially rising to over $111 per barrel before paring those
gains. U.S. WTI crude is hovering around $113/bbl after briefly
topping $116.
Equities also got off to a cautious start, with major Asian
indexes largely flat, despite a lift in the mood early in the
session after a record-breaking quarterly profit forecast from
Samsung Electronics. European shares rose after the open.
Major U.S. indexes rose on Monday, partly because traders were
heartened by reports of continued discussions about a potential
ceasefire. While that optimism faded after Tehran rejected a
short-term truce, mediation by Pakistan is reportedly
continuing. U.S. stock futures were roughly flat before the
bell.
The greenback dipped slightly but remained broadly firm, with
the dollar index hovering just under the 100 level after hitting
its highest level since May 2025 last week. The yen, on the
other hand, continues to languish near the 160-per-dollar level.
Recent macro signals from the U.S. are adding a layer of
complexity as traders mull the wider impacts of the Iran energy
shock.
The latest survey results from the Institute for Supply
Management, released on Monday, showed that U.S. services sector
growth slowed in March while prices paid by businesses for
inputs rose by the most in more than 13 years - an early sign of
rising inflation pressures amid the war. For more on that front,
we'll have to wait for U.S. March CPI inflation figures set for
release this Friday.
No matter what that release shows, the global economic outlook
appears to be darkening, with the IMF warning on Monday that
"all roads" lead to higher prices and slower growth, according
to remarks made by its head, Kristalina Georgieva.
Ultimately, the big question - yet again - is whether
Trump's latest deadline will result in the conflict being ramped
up or down. We'll all have to wait and see.
Chart of the day
The world's largest memory chipmaker today announced an
estimated operating profit of 57.2 trillion won ($37.92 billion)
for the January to March period, compared with an LSEG
SmartEstimate of 40.6 trillion won and a more than eightfold
jump from 6.69 trillion won a year earlier.
Today's events to watch
* U.S. February durable goods (8:30 a.m. EDT)
* U.S. 3-year note auction (1:00 p.m. EDT)
* Fed's Philip Jefferson, Chicago Fed's Austan Goolsbee, and
San Francisco Fed's Mary Daly all speak
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Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect
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committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.