(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters.)
By Mike Dolan
August 6 (Reuters) -
What matters in U.S. and global markets today
By Mike Dolan, Editor-at-Large, Finance and Markets
Markets slipped into something of a holding pattern overnight as
eyes homed in on tomorrow's July U.S. employment report and what
appears to be the latest deal to help end the Iran conflict.
I'll get into that and more below.
But first, check out my latest column on why the absence of full
G7 firepower in the U.S.-Japan joint currency intervention is
significant.
And listen to the latest episode of the Morning Bid daily
podcast, where we discuss the latest apparent Iran deal and
gold's biggest one-day gain in six months.
Subscribe to hear Reuters journalists discuss the biggest news
in markets and finance seven days a week.
GOLD STIRS
Brent crude sulked below $80 per barrel on Thursday as Iran
indicated a plan with Oman may be imminent. But this potential
deal appears likely to allow Tehran to retain control of inbound
traffic to the Strait of Hormuz. Whether Washington will accept
that arrangement is far from certain.
Meantime, the tech-heavy Nasdaq pulled back a touch on
Wednesday, stalled by post-earnings stock price flubs from
SpaceX and AMD, as well as from high-flying Sandisk and Western
Digital. It was a split market, however, as the Dow Jones hit a
new high.
Asian equities took their cue from the tech pullback stateside,
with South Korea's KOSPI falling more than 4% and Japan's Nikkei
nearly 1% on Thursday. Wall Street futures were mixed before the
bell.
Gold, perhaps reflecting hopes for an end to the Iran war and
easing pressure on the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates,
had its best day in six months on Wednesday, hitting its highest
level in seven weeks. That said, it's still down nearly 20% from
where it was when the Iran war started in late February.
All eyes are now trained on the July U.S. payrolls update due
tomorrow. Labor market reports this week have so far come in on
the softer side, with below-forecast private-sector jobs gains
for July reported by ADP yesterday. Along with the lower oil
price, that's helped take some of the heat out of the rates
market and Treasuries.
But markets are also considering what Fed members are saying
ahead of next month's meeting. Overnight, board governor Lisa
Cook said she was prepared to raise rates if inflation didn't
come down soon. At the same time, San Francisco's Mary Daly
indicated she was more comfortable with the Fed's current stance
as it awaits more data.
Chart of the day
Gold, an unexpected casualty of the Iran war that has been in
the doldrums for months, had its best day in about six months on
Wednesday, hitting its highest level in seven weeks.
Although the yellow metal is still down about 20% since the
Gulf conflict kicked off, gold seems to be benefitting from the
belief that oil's sharp retreat on the latest hopes for an Iran
deal will take pressure off the Fed to hike rates before
year-end.
But, as ever, there are numerous aspects to what's happening
inside the gold market, not least the ebb and flow of gold
accumulation among central banks and its place in investment
portfolios as a diversifier.
Today's events to watch
* U.S. weekly jobless claims (8:30 a.m. EDT), Q2 labor costs
and productivity (8:30 a.m. EDT)
* U.S. corporate earnings: Cloudflare, ConocoPhillips,
Warner Bros Discovery
Want to receive the Morning Bid in your inbox every weekday
morning? Sign up for the newsletter here. You can find ROI on
the Reuters website, and you can follow us on LinkedIn and X.
Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect
the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is
committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.