(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters.)
By Anna Szymanski
May 4 (Reuters) - What matters in U.S. and global
markets today
By Anna Szymanski, Editor-in-Charge, Reuters Open Interest
Oil prices spiked by around 5% on Monday after Iran said it had
turned back a U.S. warship trying to enter the Strait of Hormuz,
though the U.S. denied Iranian reports it had been struck by
missiles. That came after President Donald Trump said the U.S.
would begin assisting ships stranded in the strait.
Meanwhile, the yen briefly jumped against the dollar again, with
traders on the lookout for further buying from Japan's Ministry
of Finance after suspected intervention last week.
I'll get into that and more below.
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STRAIT TALK
Before the reports of a U.S. warship being turned back from the
Strait of Hormuz on Monday, President Trump had on Sunday
described a plan to free stranded vessels in the strait as a
"humanitarian gesture". He left the mechanics of the operation
vague, but U.S. Central Command gave a sense of its scale,
saying it would provide 15,000 military personnel and more than
100 land and sea-based aircraft.
Oil markets spiked on the reported U.S. warship incident, with
Brent trading at around $112/bbl and WTI at around $106/bbl.
Iran had previously warned that any foreign armed forces
entering the strait would be attacked.
Meanwhile, Iranian state media have reported that Washington has
sent a response, via Pakistan, to Tehran's 14-point proposal to
end the war - a plan that Trump said on Saturday he was likely
to reject.
The lack of progress on a peace deal - with a key sticking point
being the timing of nuclear talks - means the broader stalemate
and disruption in the Gulf look set to continue for now.
Elsewhere, the yen strengthened abruptly again on Monday,
touching 155.7 against the dollar before paring its gains.
That's fuelling speculation of another round of Japanese buying
after last week's apparent intervention, which may have seen the
authorities spend up to $35 billion to prop up the flagging
currency.
Asian stocks rose on Monday, led by South Korea's tech-heavy
KOSPI, which surged nearly 5%. Chipmaker SK Hynix saw its shares
rally more than 12% on U.S. tech firms' rising AI capex.
Elsewhere, Japanese markets are closed until Wednesday for the
Golden Week holiday.
European shares edged lower after the open, with automakers
coming under pressure after President Trump said on Friday that
he would hike auto tariffs again.
It's another important week for macro data and earnings. Friday
will bring the latest U.S. non-farm payrolls report, with median
forecasts seeing growth of 60,000 jobs in April, well under
March's 178,000. The report is unlikely to revive hopes for rate
cuts this year, though, after the Fed's hawkish tilt last week -
as more focus is now back on the inflation side of the central
bank's dual mandate.
On the earnings front, companies due to report this week
include tech heavyweights AMD, Super Micro Computer and
Palantir.
Elsewhere, budget airline Spirit Airlines ceased operations
over the weekend after failing to secure creditor support for a
U.S. government bailout plan.
The airline's collapse, which follows a doubling of fuel costs
amid the Iran war, removes one of the few air travel options
available to low-income Americans - and could be viewed as the
first corporate casualty of the Iran war.
Chart of the day
Oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped
precipitously since the start of the war. A handful of ships
have transited the strait in recent days and weeks, though
average flows remain well below normal.
Today's events to watch
* U.S. March manufacturers' new orders (10 a.m. EDT)
* New York Fed's John Williams speaks
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