Aug 23 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
Japanese inflation and monetary policy are under the
spotlight in Asian trading on Friday, as a mood of nervous
anticipation descends on world markets ahead of U.S. Fed Chair
Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech later in the day.
U.S. stocks and bonds fell and the dollar rose on Thursday,
a reversal of this week's moves that had seen the S&P 500 climb
back toward its recent all-time high, the 10-year yield post its
lowest close in over a year, and the dollar hit a 2024 low.
The S&P 500 on Thursday came within 0.5% of revisiting last
month's record high but ended the day down 0.9%, while the
Nasdaq lost 1.7%. Both were their steepest declines since the
Aug. 5 volatility shock.
The MSCI emerging market currency index, meanwhile, fell
0.3% on Thursday - not a particularly big move on the face of it
but, remarkably, its biggest decline in four months. With the
dollar, yields and U.S. recession worries all rising, emerging
market assets will be under pressure on Friday.
That's the backdrop to Asia's trading day, where the
spotlight will fall on Japanese inflation figures and Bank of
Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's monetary policy testimony to
lawmakers.
It will mark Ueda's first public comments since the central
bank last month raised interest rates by a higher-than-expected
25 basis points. That, coupled with his hawkish post-decision
press conference, helped stoke volatility in Japanese markets
that ended up with a sharp unwind of yen carry trades and the
Nikkei 225 index's biggest one-day fall since 1987.
The Nikkei has recovered all those losses and more, closing
on Thursday at a three-week high. That's all the more impressive
considering the yen has held onto to almost all its gains, and
is still up more than 10% in the last six weeks.
Official figures are expected to show that annual core
inflation ticked up in July to 2.7% from 2.6% on June. That
would put inflation above the BOJ's 2% target for the 28th
straight month, supporting BOJ officials' view that they should
continue the move away from decades of ultra-easy policy.
Japan's economy expanded by a much faster-than-expected
annualized 3.1% in the second quarter. In a Reuters poll
published this week, 57% of the economists surveyed think the
BOJ will raise rates again by the end of this year.
As well as Japanese inflation, the Asian calendar on Friday
includes Singapore inflation and New Zealand retail sales data.
Current market pricing suggests the Reserve Bank of New Zealand
will be one of the most dovish G10 central banks, cutting rates
230 basis points by the end of next year.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to Asian markets on Friday:
- Japan inflation (July)
- BOJ Governor Ueda speaks
- Singapore inflation (July)