March 26 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
Chinese markets will be under close scrutiny on Tuesday, as
signs emerge that the recovery for much of this year in asset
prices and investor sentiment may be fading as the first quarter
draws to a close.
The broader tone across Asia is fairly muted too with
regional stocks on the defensive as investors grapple with a
resilient dollar and higher U.S. bond yields in the wake of last
week's central bank fireworks.
Tuesday's calendar is relatively light. The latest reading
of Japan's service sector producer price inflation is
potentially the most significant release, while Australian
consumer sentiment is also on tap.
Exchange rates are in the spotlight, with the yen steadying
after Japan's top currency diplomat said its recent "big slide"
against the dollar did not reflect fundamentals.
China's yuan, meanwhile, goes in to Tuesday on the back of a
roller-coaster couple of days. It sank on Friday and rebounded
on Monday thanks to suspected dollar selling by state-owned
banks as the central bank set its daily 'fixing' rate much
stronger than analysts had expected.
The People's Bank of China set the yuan fixing rate at
7.0996 per dollar, some 1,300 basis points lower than the
market's neutral estimate of 7.23. Analysts at Deutsche Bank
said this marked the largest strengthening bias since November.
According to analysts at Rabobank, this suggests Beijing
does not want the yuan to weaken excessively ahead of the U.S.
presidential election in November.
Whatever the reasoning, it was a dramatic reversal from
Friday, when the offshore yuan slumped 0.75% against the dollar
for its biggest fall in over a year.
That was on huge volume too - spot volume on trading
platform EBS was $24.2 billion, the fourth highest ever,
according to CME Group, which owns EBS.
There doesn't appear to be any clear explanation for the
yuan's swings, so it's no surprise that the volatility and
uncertainty is spilling over into other assets - blue chip
stocks fell for a third day on Monday, the longest losing streak
since January.
Sentiment toward China will not have been helped by news
that U.S. and British officials filed charges, imposed
sanctions, and called out Beijing over an alleged sweeping
cyberespionage campaign that hit millions of people - including
lawmakers, academics, journalists and more.
Washington and London accused the hacking group nicknamed
"APT31" of being an arm of China's Ministry of State Security
and reeled off a laundry list of targets: White House staffers,
U.S. senators, British parliamentarians, and government
officials around the world who criticized Beijing.
Trade tensions are percolating again too, after the FT
reported that China is seeking to block the use of Intel and AMD
in government computers, and sideline Microsoft Windows and
other foreign-made software in favor of domestic options.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to markets on Tuesday:
- Japan services PPI (February)
- Australia consumer sentiment (March)
- Hong Kong trade (February)
(By Jamie McGeever;)