Feb 14 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
A rally in U.S. stocks and bonds looked counterintuitive after
PPI headlines appeared to be the second hot inflation read this
week, but, under the hood, key components looked more like they
were moving the direction the Fed and Wall Street want.
But even while investors in New York markets lifted the S&P
500 a percent and the Nasdaq more than that on
Thursday, continued gains on Asia bourses Friday are hardly
assured, given the challenge of navigating the twists and turns
from President Donald Trump as he pushes for a peace deal in
Ukraine while setting up for a global trade war.
The prospect of Russia-Ukraine peace talks helped foster the
risk-on mood in stocks, while the inflation news with potential
dovish implications for Fed officials reversed Wednesday's bond
slump and the yield on the 10-year Treasury note
fell almost 10 basis points to around 4.53%.
The bigger-than-forecast 0.4% rise in January's Producer
Price Index followed Wednesday's news that consumer prices
accelerated by the most in nearly 1-1/2 years in January. But
some details suggested a more moderate increase in January in
the PCE price index that is closely tracked by the U.S. central
bank for its 2% target.
For instance, physician's office and hospital prices were
either broadly unchanged or rose just slightly. Healthcare, with
a nearly 20% weighting in the core PCE, declined 0.06%.
Portfolio management prices, another important item on core PCE,
posted a modest 0.4% increase.
Following the PPI data, U.S. rate futures priced in 31 bps
of easing this year, compared with 27 bps late on Wednesday,
according to LSEG calculations. The next rate reduction is
expected either at the October or December meeting.
Russia said on Thursday that Ukraine would "of course" be
involved in talks to end the war, but there would be a separate
U.S.-Russian strand to the negotiations. Ukraine and its
European allies meanwhile demanded that they be included in any
peace negotiations.
The markets took in stride Trump's oft-promised roadmap for
charging reciprocal tariffs on every country that puts duties on
U.S. imports, his latest trade salvo directed at American
friends and foes.
The dollar pared losses a tad on the tariff headlines and
against the yen it was trading at 152.97 yen late in the day,
down about 0.9%. The stronger yen in recent weeks has been a
negative for the Nikkei but weakness in Asia Thursday
was cited as a reason for the index's 1.28% gain.
Meanwhile, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi will meet
Trump on Thursday, hoping concessions on tariffs, fresh business
deals and the prospect of cooperation on China will win the U.S.
president's favor.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to markets on Friday:
- South Korea unemployment (Jan)
- Malaysia GDP (Q4)
- US Retail Sales (Jan)
(Editing by Diane Craft)