A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Ankur Banerjee
And just like that, we're back to staring at shipping routes
across the Strait of Hormuz after a fresh bout of tit-for-tat
attacks upended the tenuous U.S.-Iran ceasefire and clouded
long-term peace prospects in the Middle East.
While global markets broadly took the latest U.S. attacks on
Iran in stride, oil prices rose 2% as investors fretted about a
slower recovery of supply from the Middle East. Adding to those
worries, the U.S. reimposed crude sales sanctions on Iran.
The Strait of Hormuz, a key waterway for the transport of
Middle Eastern oil shipments to wider markets, remains in focus,
as it has been since the conflict erupted at the end of
February.
But for now, investors are hoping that the worst is truly behind
us and the gains in Brent crude futures will be
contained. Stocks mostly took a breather after an AI-led wild
ride in recent weeks, as investors brace for the earnings
season.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields, which rise when
prices fall, climbed about 3 basis points to a one-month high of
4.565%, with higher oil prices raising inflation risks.
Focus will be on the minutes of the Federal Reserve's June
policy meeting later on Wednesday as traders gauge the mood and
tone of policymakers. Markets are pricing in the Fed to hike at
least once by the end of 2026 to battle inflation.
The spotlight will also be on tech stocks after a tumultuous few
weeks where the afterglow of the blockbuster IPO of SpaceX has
given way to worries about whether there is room for further
gains in the historic AI rally.
South Korea's SK Hynix launched a U.S. share sale to
raise 43 trillion won on Monday, with the stock due to start
trading on Friday, in what will be another test of investor
confidence in the sector.
The KOSPI index dropped another 5%, leading to a
short halt in trading activated by the stock exchange. These
halts are becoming increasingly common, underlining the
unprecedented level of volatility in the world's best performing
stock market.
Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:
* UK housing survey for June
* Federal Reserve minutes during US hours