A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom
Westbrook
Gravity brought China's soaring stock market back to earth
with a thud on Wednesday. Disappointment about the lack - so far
- of follow-through on stimulus promises has triggered a
pullback in a spectacular rally and could be a harbinger of
further weakness in China-exposed assets trading in London and
Europe.
At the time of writing, the Shanghai Composite was
down more than 5% and headed for its largest slump since the
pandemic collapse of February 2020.
A bounce in Hong Kong was quickly snuffed out. Metals and
other commodities were on the slide along with China proxies
such as the Australian dollar.
China watchers say yesterday's National Development and
Reform Commission news conference was never going to be the
forum for a substantial policy announcement.
"More patience please," noted HSBC economist Jing Liu in a
note pointing out that we are yet to hear from the State Council
or the finance ministry on the specifics of stimulus.
But, clearly, the opportunity to reassure markets has been
missed and the rally is unlikely to be sustainable until
authorities show investors the money, and lots of it.
China volatility already pulled down European miners and
luxury stocks on Tuesday but further drops in the iron ore price
and selling of Rio Tinto and BHP shares in
Sydney suggest more pressure ahead.
Elsewhere the New Zealand dollar slid through its
200-day moving average as the central bank cut interest rates by
50 basis points and left the door open to further cuts - just as
markets are paring back their expectations for U.S. rate cuts.
Indian government bonds rallied after FTSE Russell said they
would be included in its emerging markets' index. South Korean
government bonds were added to the FTSE World Government Bond
Index (WGBI) but were not traded owing to a public holiday.
Minutes for September's Federal Reserve meeting are due
later in the session, though they may not add much since Fed
officials have been out in force in recent days pointing out
last week's strong jobs reading is positive for the economy.
Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:
- German trade data
- September Federal Reserve minutes
(Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman)